I’ll avoid getting into the whole “Shortstop Class of 2022-2023” of it, and instead will lead with the facts. Since he signed a monster 11-year deal with the Padres ($280 million), Xander Bogaerts has hit .272/.332/.406/107 wRC+, while playing defense – mostly at shortstop – at a level that rates out as anywhere from slightly below average to slightly above average, depending on your metric of choice. He’s been about a 3-ish WAR player for them.
That is to say, I’m not sure the Padres have gotten what they hoped for on that deal, especially during Bogaerts’ ages 30-32 seasons.
Still, none of that means he isn’t an important, valuable player for them right now. Which means this news is significant, especially in the NL West and NL Wild Card races:
We have placed SS Xander Bogaerts on the 10-day IL with a non-displaced fracture in his left foot and recalled INF Mason McCoy from Triple-A El Paso.
— San Diego Padres (@Padres) August 29, 2025That’s a major loss for the Padres at this stage of the season, and it’s not a lock that Bogaerts would be back before the postseason (if then).
The Padres (75-59) currently stand 2.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, and 1.0 game behind the Cubs in the NL Wild Card race for that top spot (i.e., the one that gets all three Wild Card games at home). So, yeah, this potentially matters a lot, especially because the situation on the tiebreaker side probably favors the Padres.
The tiebreaker between the Cubs and Padres won’t be decided by head-to-head record, because they’ve split their season series 3-3. The next tiebreaker is your record within your own division, and, believe it or not, the Cubs and Padres are tied there, too (24-18). The NEXT tiebreaker is your division against other NL clubs not in your division, and the Padres have that one over the Cubs by a whole lot.
So, then, it’s going to be very important for the Cubs to either win a whole lot of extra games against the NL Central the rest of the way (3 in Pittsburgh, 4 in Cincinnati, and 3 hosting St. Louis; while the Padres have 7 against the Rockies splitting parks and 3 hosting the DBacks), or to just, you know, win more games than the Padres.
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