Reserve Bank of Australia Financial Stability Review:
US tariff uncertainty poses substantial headwinds to global growth.
Tariffs could have a chilling effect on business investment and consumer spending.
Risk of disorderly correction in global asset prices, putting pressure on non-bank lenders.
Hedge funds particularly vulnerable to repricing of risk due to highly leveraged positions.
US tariffs on China may necessitate further policy stimulus from Beijing.
Global slowdown, particularly in China, could spill over into Australia.
Risk aversion could increase financing costs and cause liquidity strains.
Australian financial system well placed in the event of a severe global downturn.
Strong financial position of most households and banks limits the risk of widespread disruption.
Australian banks well capitalised and able to absorb large loan losses.
Important that bank lending standards remain sound and are not relaxed.
Budget pressures pervasive across Australian households, but expected to ease a little.
Wary that lower interest rates could encourage households to take on excessive debt.
This report would have been written well before Trump's announcements a few hours ago. Pretty spot on.
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