We’re comparing pickable pass percentage and actual interception rate to determine which quarterbacks were the most and least fortunate during the 2023 season. Some of the results might surprise you. In 2023, NFL quarterbacks threw 668 “pickable” passes. Defenders intercepted 429 of those passes – most of them on throws defined as pickable, though not all. (Sometimes, a defensive back makes an absurd play on a good throw, or the ball ricochets, or a receiver falls down.) The league-wide pickable pass rate was 3.7%, but the actual interception rate was 2.3%. What does that tell us? Well, it’s good to be lucky. Defenders will never pick off every pickable pass. That’s why t
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