One army in Europe is now our only hope ...Middle East

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One army in Europe is now our only hope

The West still talks about Ukraine as though it were a charity case. Increasingly, it looks more like Europe’s future military power.

You might remember the images: Zelensky walking Kyiv’s streets in the early hours as Russian tanks rolled in, refusing evacuation even as Western officials debated not whether Ukraine would fall, but how long it would take. His defiant plea as Russian strike teams moved to kill or capture him: “I need ammo, not a ride.”

    Britain, alongside European partners, responded with weapons, training, money and sanctuary for refugees in what still looked like a hopeless fight. Our national psyche instinctively rallies behind the outmatched underdog with justice on their side. Four years later, the same challenge remains.

    But Ukraine – once treated as a dependent recipient of support – is transformed.

    It has pioneered a new generation of warfare, born of necessity. Like earlier wars that began with cavalry charges and ended with tanks and combat aircraft, so this one is redefining combat.

    Ukraine has built one of the world’s most advanced drone ecosystems, from fibre-optic FPVs that resist electronic warfare to AI-assisted interceptors. Low-cost, decentralised manufacturing boosts scale: Ukraine now produces around 4 million drones a year, says Zelensky, a number which (according to Rand analyst Michael Bohnert) is outpacing the production capabilities of all Nato countries combined. This hardware is paired with integrated battlefield data systems, decentralised command structures and AI-assisted targeting.

    What was built for survival is becoming exportable capability – and Ukraine is sharing battlefield lessons and military technology faster than most Nato militaries can absorb them.

    In one Nato exercise, a small Ukrainian drone team overwhelmed allied forces so effectively that “destroyed” units had to be repeatedly restored to continue the exercise. As reported by the Kyiv Post, the Swedish brigade commander Andreas Gustafsson admitted Ukrainian forces are “miles ahead of us when it comes to drone warfare…we have a lot to learn”.

    European armed forces know they have to close the gap: they remain largely optimised for short, asymmetric wars against technologically inferior opponents. They are not structured for sustained peer conflict.

    But Ukraine’s advantage lies not only in tactical innovation, but in organisation: the ability to iterate, industrialise and scale lessons under wartime pressure.

    Modern warfare has become as much about production economics, as combat capability. Swarms of cheap drones can overwhelm expensive air defences. $500 systems can destroy multimillion-pound equipment. The decisive variable is not just sophistication, but speed, scale and output.

    That logic is now being embedded into allied defence systems. Ukrainian defence firms have agreed partnerships in Britain, Germany and the Nordics, while Gulf states are signing long-term co-operation agreements on drone warfare and defence technology.

    Europe needs not only Ukrainian technology, but its adaptability and urgency. Many European militaries remain constrained by slow procurement, expensive legacy systems and bureaucracies designed for peacetime efficiency, rather than wartime adaptation.

    Ukraine has become the world’s largest defence laboratory – a country-sized start-up, scaling across the Western world.

    Ukraine’s transformation is not only exportable technology and industry. It is also something far less transferable: its manpower and battlefield experience.

    The country fields one of the largest and most battle-hardened armies in Europe – nearly 900,000 active personnel shaped by years of high-intensity warfare, rather than training exercises. No European military outside Russia possesses comparable size or recent experience of large-scale land warfare.

    None of this removes Ukraine’s dependence on Western financing, ammunition and air defence support, nor the immense demographic and economic strain the war has imposed.

    But in four years, Ukraine has compressed decades of military innovation into real-world experience.

    The need for Ukrainian leadership has been accelerated by a broader geopolitical shock: the uncertainty of American security guarantees.

    Trump did not create Europe’s strategic anxiety, but he intensified it. His unpredictability forced European governments to confront a long-deferred reality: they may one day face conflict with limited American support.

    Without the US, Europe knows it is not yet ready for a brutal peer conflict with a battle-hardened nation. At the same time, Ukraine is increasingly seen not simply as a recipient of protection, but as a source of capability.

    I’ve argued before that Ukraine is buying the West time by tying down Russian forces and degrading its military capacity. Now, it is also becoming a critical partner with the most experienced battlefield army in Europe outside Russia, and the deepest practical understanding of modern Russian warfare.

    Europe once feared Ukraine would become a permanent burden. Increasingly, it looks like one of the few countries capable of strengthening Europe’s own defence.

    This shift carries profound implications for Russia as well.

    Putin intended the subjugation and demilitarisation of Ukraine – a client state on the Black Sea. Instead, he created Europe’s most mobilised military society outside Russia itself: a country with a rapidly expanding defence-industrial base, one of the continent’s most experienced armies and a national identity inseparable from military resistance – one now capable of quite literally raining bombs on Moscow’s parade.

    The Kremlin set out to destroy Ukrainian statehood. Instead, it forged a new military nation. Putin still speaks of Ukraine as though it were a subordinate state. Much of the West still treats it as a dependent one. Both may be failing to grasp what the war has already turned Ukraine into.

    Ukraine is no longer simply consuming Western security guarantees; it is beginning to produce security for Europe itself. Wars do not only destroy states. Sometimes they forge them.

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