Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon prediction, odds & betting tips – 13/09/2025 ...Middle East

Reigning champions Sporting Lisbon return from the international break determined to bounce back from defeat as they make the trip to the Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho to face Famalicao on Saturday in round five of the Primeira Liga.

The Lions suffered their first loss of the top-flight campaign against rivals Porto at the Estadio Jose Alvalade a fortnight ago and now seek a response against a Famalicao side who have built their momentum on a watertight defence.

Read our Famalicao vs Sporting Lisbon prediction and preview to find out, but remember to also check our other Primeira Liga betting tips.

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Sporting have won each of their last seven Primeira Liga meetings with Famalicao, scoring two or more in five of those matches.The Lions have kept clean sheets in two of their four league fixtures this season.Under 1.5 goals has landed in the first half in four of Sporting’s five matches across all competitions, while the same has occurred in Famalicao’s last three outings.

Correct score prediction: Famalicao 0-2 Sporting Lisbon

Famalicao have been impressively solid in defence and remain the only team in the division yet to concede, but their attacking output has not been as explosive, with only five goals in four matches.

While Vila Nova will attempt to rely on their compact backline, it is difficult to see them keeping out the league’s most dangerous attack. Sporting have already registered 13 goals, and their wealth of firepower is likely to prove decisive once again.

Pre-match analysis: Away side overwhelming favourites

*Odds courtesy of Ladbrokes; subject to change.

The bookmakers’ odds reflect the gulf in quality between these sides, as well as Sporting’s historical dominance in this fixture.

Famalicao have been priced at 6/1 (7.00), giving them a modest 14.3% chance of victory, which underlines that an upset would be a major surprise. Meanwhile, the reigning champions are handed a 69.4% probability with odds of 4/9 (1.44), underlining their status as clear favourites ahead of Saturday’s clash.

Our hot tip of an away win or draw with no BTTS is priced at 1/1 (2.00) with a 50.0% likelihood. Considering Vila Nova’s blunt attack and their struggles in this head-to-head fixture, the bet carries strong value.

Most recent H2H: Will Sporting extend dominance?

The most recent meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Sporting at the Estadio Jose Alvalade, extending their record to seven straight league wins against Famalicao and eight consecutive victories in all competitions.

Portugal Primeira Liga 15/03/25

Sporting

Famalicao

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/10/24

Famalicao

Sporting

Portugal Primeira Liga 16/04/24

Famalicao

Sporting

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/02/24

Famalicao

Sporting

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/08/23

Sporting

Famalicao

Famalicao appear on course to challenge for a maiden European place after near misses in recent seasons, including a seventh-place finish last year. Vila Nova are unbeaten in four league fixtures, winning three and drawing one, with their defensive resilience the cornerstone of this strong start.

However, Cesar Peixoto’s side face a daunting task without centre-back Leonardo Realpe, who is suspended following his red card in the 1-0 win against AVS before the break. Despite surviving over half an hour with 10 men and even finding a winner through Justin De Haas, keeping out the Lions’ relentless attack presents a far greater challenge.

Ibrahima Ba is set to deputise for the Ecuadorian, while Rochinha and Oscar Aranda remain sidelined through injury.

Predicted XI: Carevic (GK), Soares, Haas, Ba, Pinheiro, Amorim, Looi, Sorriso, Sa, Dias & Elisor

30/08/25: Famalicao 0-1 AFS (L)24/08/25: Famalicao 0-0 Gil Vicente (D)16/08/25: Tondela 0-1 Famalicao (W)10/08/25: Famalicao 3-0 Santa Clara (W)02/08/25: Famalicao 4-1 Arouca (W)

Sporting Lisbon preview: Two ruled out, two doubtful

Sporting saw their perfect league start halted by Porto and dropped to third place with nine points from four games. Back from the international break, Rui Borges’s men will be determined to reassert themselves at the top end of the table.

The Lions will, however, be without midfielder Daniel Braganca and left-back Nuno Santos, both long-term absentees. In addition, Maximiliano Araujo and Ousmane Diomande face late fitness checks to determine their availability.

Predicted XI: Silva (GK), Mangas, Inacio, Debast, Fresneda, Hjulmand, Morita, Trincao, Pote, Catamo & Suarez

Player to watch: Luis Suarez

Signed in the summer to replace Viktor Gyokeres, Luis Suarez has big shoes to fill in leading the Sporting attack. The Colombian has only found the net twice so far, both goals coming in the emphatic win against Arouca.

Nevertheless, Suarez enters this fixture buoyed by an excellent international break, where he scored four goals for his national side. Whether he can transfer that momentum back into domestic action could be a decisive factor in Sporting’s push to get back on track.

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