NBC is reporting that the imminent collapse of the Iranian regime is far from the truth.
Meanwhile, Britain, France and Germany are to hold talks with Iran's foreign ministry on Friday in an effort to avoid a US intervention in the conflict.
The calculus of the conflict is intense. My guess is the first plan is failing. That is, Iran would fold after the initial strikes from Isreel took out people, places and things and the US threatened on the outside.
Instead, some of Iran's bombs have penetrated the Iron Dome and caused casualties.
The risk is Iran is taking the body blows and NOT ready to negotiate but fight back.
That leads to 2nd plan which is US involvement and what does that look like?
The obvious thought would be to send in the US bunker buster and then hope there is a negotiation.
What Plan 3 is, I don't know. PS There are plans on the other side too and oil is always in play too.
Now, the US may not choose to do plan 2 - at least now - but instead be willing to continue negotiations and meanwhile let the first plan run some more with Isreal and Iran continuing to bomb each other with the thought Israel can out-punch and out-strategize Iran eventually. It will be ugly and lead to casualties, destruction, tension, etc. but it keeps the US on the outside, looking in.
The political risk to Trump is he all along said he can negotiate peace, that he is not a war monger. However, wars continue to rage and that is forcing his hand.
For me... praying for peace....
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com. Read More Details
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