Tonight brings an interesting matchup to Ball Arena as the Colorado Avalanche host the New Jersey Devils. Through the first 12 games of the season, Colorado is sitting at a 6-5-1 record. The results have varied, but the offense continues to produce, registering 49 total goals and averaging just over four tallies per contest.
The Devils arrive in Denver carrying an 8-4-0 record and a steady defense. New Jersey’s goaltending and team defense have combined to allow just 2.67 goals against per game so far this year, and they recently added Vezina winner Connor Hellebuyck in a trade. This contrast between Colorado’s high-volume offense and New Jersey’s resistance creates a compelling landscape for the player prop market.
The Avalanche are still trying stabilize defensively, which puts pressure on the forward group to outscore their mistakes. Against a New Jersey team that plays a structured, possession-heavy game, Colorado will need to rely on their transition speed and special teams to tilt the ice. The Devils have been effective at limiting high-danger chances, but Denver’s altitude and Colorado’s aggressive forecheck present a unique challenge that often breaks down even the most disciplined systems.
With the consensus game total sitting at 6.5 and pre-match probabilities leaning slightly toward an Avalanche victory at 56.5 percent, bettors have plenty of numbers to work with. Rather than just picking a side, taking a close look at player props offers a way to navigate a game. Zeroing in on individual shot volume, power-play usage, and historical rates makes a lot of sense when trying to find an edge on tonight’s board. If you are looking to lay some juice, utilizing a BetMGM promo code or a Caesars promo can help maximize your initial wagers.
Nathan MacKinnon Over 1.5 Total Points (+137)
Backing MacKinnon to generate multiple scoring events on home ice is a strong strategy, regardless of the opponent. The Devils bring a tight defense to Denver, boasting a capable blueline that features Brett Pesce, Dougie Hamilton, and Luke Hughes. However, neutralizing Colorado’s top center for a full sixty minutes is a tough ask for any defensive corps.
With Jared Bednar holding the final change at Ball Arena, the Avalanche coaching staff can selectively deploy their top line to dictate the pace. Bednar will likely use that advantage to avoid New Jersey’s most suffocating checking units whenever possible. Find the mismatch. Exploit it. That is where MacKinnon thrives.
MacKinnon’s ability to gain the offensive zone with possession is a critical factor here. New Jersey prefers to stand up at the blue line, but MacKinnon’s speed often forces defensemen to back off, creating passing lanes for trailing forwards. Furthermore, his sheer shot volume means that even if he isn’t the primary goal scorer, he frequently generates rebound opportunities that lead to secondary assists.
MacKinnon naturally commands the top center role and serves as the primary puck distributor on the first power-play unit. Operating alongside Cale Makar gives him high-end finishing talent to work with on the man advantage. When you factor in a consensus game total sitting at 6.5, the market expects crooked numbers tonight. If the Avalanche are finding the back of the net, it is highly probable their primary offensive engine is directly involved in the sequence. At plus money, a multi-point night is a logical angle.
Devon Toews Over 0.5 Total Points (+149)
The prop market frequently undervalues defensemen who share the ice with superstars, creating an excellent opportunity to back Toews. While Cale Makar rightly draws the spotlight on the right side of the top pairing, Toews is the steady, essential counterpart on the left. He handles a significant portion of the puck retrieval and breakout duties, consistently feeding the forwards in transition.
New Jersey’s defensive structure is built to suppress the middle of the ice, which often forces the puck back to the points during sustained offensive zone time. That dynamic gives Toews ample time to distribute, a style of play that regularly results in secondary assists. He is not just a defensive specialist; his ability to read the play and jump into the rush makes him a constant threat to get on the scoresheet.
Toews averages over 20 minutes of ice time per night, ensuring he is on the ice for a large portion of Colorado’s offensive pushes. When the Avalanche are trailing or tied late in games, Bednar rarely takes his top pairing off the ice. You are investing in opportunity as much as talent. Ice time. Deployment. Value. Toews checks every box for a secondary prop.
Beyond his heavy even-strength minutes, Toews is also tasked with running the point on the Avalanche’s second power-play unit. This deployment keeps him on the ice during high-leverage scoring situations. Finding a single point for a top-pairing defenseman who touches the puck this often in a projected high-scoring environment is a compelling way to find value. If you are exploring different markets, checking out a theScore Bet promo might offer additional flexibility for these types of plus-money defensive props.
To stay updated on line combinations, game reactions, and more Avalanche news, be sure to follow the latest coverage as the season progresses.
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Sportradar Content Studio contributed to this story.
Colorado Avalanche vs. New Jersey Devils: Top Player Props for MacKinnon, Toews Mile High Sports.
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