With the All-Star break in the rearview mirror, it’s time to reevaluate some 2026 MLB awards futures. Here, we’re looking at the 2026 NL Cy Young race, which has seen a flame-thrower separate from the field. Unlike the tight battle in the American League, the National League is a one-man race at the top, followed by a secondary tier of arms trying to close the gap before it is too late. Here is how the board shakes out as the second half begins.
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2026 NL Cy Young Odds
*Jeff Curry-Imagn ImagesIf you were hoping for a tight, dramatic Cy Young award race in the National League, sportsbooks are crushing those hopes. Over the last few weeks, sportsbooks have adjusted the odds to reflect what the on-field performances have shown all season: there is one clear favorite at the top, and a pretty significant gap between him and the rest of the league.
Because the leader has been so consistent, oddsmakers have made him a heavy favorite, forcing everyone else into longshot territory. As we head into the second half, the realistic field of contenders has shrunk to just a couple of starters who actually have the workload and durability to make things interesting if the favorite slips.
National League 2026 – Cy Young Award Player Odds Jacob Misiorowski -450 Cristopher Sanchez +550 Chris Sale +2200 Zack Wheeler +2200 Chase Burns +2800 Yoshinobu Yamamoto +3000 Paul Skenes +3500 Shohei Ohtani +6500 Braxton Ashcraft +7500 Kyle Harrison +10000 Max Meyer +10000 Logan Webb +15000 Michael King +20000 Nolan McLean +20000 Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook & current at time of publicationThe Runaway Favorite: Jacob Misiorowski (-450)
Milwaukee’s 24-year-old standout has blown past the competition and sits as a heavy -450 favorite. Misiorowski has separated himself by combining extreme efficiency with elite swing-and-miss stuff, compiling a 1.62 ERA and a 0.757 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched. His 167 strikeouts lead all NL contenders, and his 4.2 WAR makes him the clear man to beat.
Primary Challenger: Cristopher Sanchez (+550)
*Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn ImagesAlthough Sanchez has lost ground to the leader, he’s the only pitcher within sight of the award coming out of the All-Star break. The Phillies’ left-hander has been a workhorse, logging 127.1 innings ahead of the All-Star Game. While his 2.62 ERA and 1.186 WHIP trail the favorite, Sanchez holds a critical advantage in overall value, leading all National League pitchers with a stellar 5.4 WAR.
Best of the Rest: Zack Wheeler (+2200)
Beyond the top two choices, the market drops off significantly. Zack Wheeler leads this next tier at +2200, anchoring Philadelphia’s rotation alongside Sanchez. Wheeler has a stellar 2.13 ERA and a 0.892 WHIP over 93.0 innings, boasting baseball’s second-best pitching WAR (4.8) behind his teammate above.
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Bet on Pitching Futures Responsibly
Navigating a volatile award market requires a structured approach to protect your bankroll.
Keep Bets to a Flat Unit Size: Avoid overextending on a single pitcher based entirely on a short stretch of dominant outings. Avoid Emotional Hedging: If a contender you backed early begins to hit a wall, resist the urge to panic-bet a short-priced favorite to chase your investment. Monitor Workload Metrics: Cy Young voters place a high premium on total volume. Focus on underlying data like innings pitched, WHIP, and strikeout-to-walk ratios rather than basic win-loss records. Set App Limits Early: Take advantage of deposit limits and wager caps directly inside your preferred sportsbook platform before the dog days of August arrive.New users must be 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
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