Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Monday, February 16, 2026 ...Middle East

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The Tarleton State Texans (12-13, 3-9 WAC) are slightly favored (by 1.5 points) to stop a three-game home losing streak when they host the Abilene Christian Wildcats (12-13, 4-8 WAC) on Monday, February 16, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 135.

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Odds

Tarleton State odds to win: -127 Abilene Christian odds to win: +104 Spread: Tarleton State (-1.5) Total: 135

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Monday, February 16, 2026 Time: 8 p.m. ET TV: ESPN+ Where: Stephenville, Texas Venue: EECU Center

Who Will Win Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian?

Tarleton State and Abilene Christian Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Tarleton State has a 6-3 record against the spread in games it was favored by 1.5 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 1.5-point underdog this season, Abilene Christian is 7-5 against the spread.

These two teams average 146.1 points per game combined, 11.1 more than the over/under of 135.

Tarleton State and Abilene Christian have seen its opponents average a combined 8.8 more points per game than the over/under of 135 set for this game.

The average total for Tarleton State’s games this season is 13.6 more points than the total of 135 in this game.

The average point total for the Wildcats this season is 6.4 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Texans are 12-9-0 ATS this season.

The Wildcats are 11-11-0 against the spread this season.

Tarleton State Stats & Insights

Tarleton State averages 75.7 points per game (188th in college basketball) while giving up 72.9 per outing (149th in college basketball). It has a +70 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 2.8 points per game.

The 29.0 rebounds per game Tarleton State averages rank 322nd in college basketball, and are 2.1 fewer than the 31.1 its opponents record per outing.

The Texans hit 4.7 three-pointers per game (364th in college basketball) while shooting 31.7% from deep (296th in college basketball). They are making 2.9 fewer threes per contest than their opponents, who drain 7.6 per game while shooting 34.7%.

Tarleton State records 93.0 points per 100 possessions (284th in college basketball), while allowing 89.6 points per 100 possessions (60th in college basketball).

At home, the Texans are posting 7.4 more points per game (79.6) than they are away from home (72.2).

Abilene Christian Stats & Insights

Abilene Christian scores 70.4 points per game (305th in college basketball) and allows 70.9 (98th in college basketball) for a -12 scoring differential overall.

Abilene Christian wins the rebound battle by 1.4 boards on average. It collects 28.7 rebounds per game, 329th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 27.3.

Abilene Christian knocks down 6.2 three-pointers per game (317th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.8. It shoots 33.2% from deep, and its opponents shoot 37.7%.

Abilene Christian averages 92.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (306th in college basketball), and gives up 92.8 points per 100 possessions (132nd in college basketball).

The Wildcats average 77.2 points per game at home, and 65.1 away.

Tarleton State Key Players to Watch

The Texans leader in rebounds and assist is Freddy Hicks, who pulls down 5.7 rebounds and distributes 2.1 assists per game along with scoring 9.7 points per contest.

Camron McDowell leads Tarleton State in scoring, averaging 13.9 per game to go with 3.3 rebounds and 1.2 assists.

McDowell leads the Texans in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.0 shot per game from beyond the arc.

Leroy Kelly IV is Tarleton State’s leader in steals, averaging 2.2 steals per game, while Andy Sigiscar leads them in blocks with 1.1 per contest.

Abilene Christian Key Players to Watch

Bradyn Hubbard sits on top of the Wildcats leaderboards for scoring and rebounding with 15.8 points and 4.7 rebounds per game.

Rich Smith’s assist statline paces Abilene Christian with 4.7 assists per game.

Yaniel Rivera averages 1.6 three-pointers per game, the most on the Wildcats.

Abilene Christian’s leader in steals is Hubbard (2.0 per game), and its leader in blocks is Cade Hornecker (0.5 per game).

Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian Prediction

Pick ATS: Tarleton State (-1.5) Pick OU: Over (135) Prediction: Tarleton State 74, Abilene Christian 70

How to Bet on Tarleton State vs. Abilene Christian

And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

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