We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League game at Selhurst Park with our Crystal Palace vs Man Utd prediction and preview. Can Ruben Amorim’s side bounce back from Monday’s disappointment?
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd: The Key Stats
Crystal Palace are the favourites to claim all three points in this match, winning 54.1% of the Opta supercomputer’s 10,000 pre-match predictions. Manchester United have won just three of their last 26 Premier League games against London sides (D7 L16). Palace are unbeaten in their last 12 top-flight home games (W6 D6), a run that dates back to February.Manchester United are looking to bounce back after seeing their longest unbeaten streak under Ruben Amorim ended, but a trip to Crystal Palace promises a tough test.
Boos greeted the full-time whistle as United were beaten 1-0 by 10-man Everton on Monday, with Amorim’s side unable to find a response to Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s stunning first-half strike.
Thus ended a run of five games without defeat, as well as a four-match winning streak at Old Trafford, marking a return to the drawing board for Amorim after a faltering attacking performance.
United ended the Everton game with a shot count of 25 (six on target) as they failed to find a way past Jordan Pickford, while they conceded from the only effort on target they faced.
The Red Devils’ Premier League games have produced a higher expected goals (xG) total than any other side this season (37.1 – F20.1 A17). However, from their 20.1 xG, United have netted just 19 times, and two of those were own goals.
Only Liverpool (184) have managed more attempts than United’s 183 this season. Of those, 62 have hit the target; Chelsea (67) are the sole team to have done so more often, though the Blues have scored four more goals.
Man Utd Premier League xG 2025-26United’s 10.4% conversion rate is the joint-seventh worst in the competition, and something Amorim will be keen to improve on against one of the league’s sternest defences.
Only league leaders Arsenal (6) have conceded fewer goals than Palace (9) in the Premier League this season. It’s the fewest goals they have conceded after the first 12 games of a league season since 1981-82 (also 9).
They have faced 14.5 expected goals against (xGA) from the 128 shots on their goal – 36 of those have been on target. Palace have also kept six clean sheets, with only Arsenal (7) enjoying more shutouts.
And at home, they are a real force to be reckoned with. Palace are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League home games (W6 D6), only once having a longer run without defeat at Selhurst Park in the top flight (17 between February and December 1990).
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4 days ago Ryan BensonIt’s a daunting record for any visiting team, but especially for United, who have won just one of their last 11 away league games (D4 L6), beating Liverpool 2-1 last month.
Indeed, half of the Red Devils’ away wins under Amorim (2/4) have come at the home of the reigning Premier League champions (also 2-1 v Manchester City in December 2024).
And United have won just three of their last 26 top-flight away games against London sides (D7 L16), with all three of those victories coming against Fulham. Since the start of this run in April 2023, no side have lost more away games in the capital than the Red Devils (16).
However, in their last two away games, United scored the opening goal, went behind and then avoided defeat to earn 2-2 draws with Tottenham Hotspur and Nottingham Forest, respectively.
Amorim will be eager to see more of that fight from his side, but Oliver Glasner’s side will be confident they can get the better of United once more, despite seeing their five-game unbeaten run in all competitions ended by a 2-1 defeat to Strasbourg in the Conference League.
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd Head-to-Head
Palace have won three of their last four league games against Man Utd (D1), as many as they had in their previous 30 (W3 D6 L21).
And having been winless in 13 home league games against the Red Devils between 1991 and 2021 (D4 L9), Palace have now won two of their last four against United at Selhurst Park (D2).
United, meanwhile, have failed to score in each of their last four Premier League games against Palace – only against Blackburn Rovers (1920-1922) and Everton (1971-1973) have they ever failed to score in five in a row.
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd Prediction
Given Palace’s strong recent record against Man Utd, they are the favourites to prevail on Sunday, with the Opta supercomputer giving them a 54.1% chance of claiming all three points.
United’s chances of a win are rated at just 22.3%, while the likelihood of a draw is only slightly higher at 23.6%.
Crystal Palace vs Man Utd Predicted Lineups
Crystal Palace: Dean Henderson, Marc Guéhi, Maxence Lacroix, Chris Richards, Tyrick Mitchell, Daichi Kamada, Adam Wharton, Daniel Muñoz, Yeremy Pino, Ismaïla Sarr, Jean-Philippe Mateta.
Head coach: Oliver Glasner
Manchester United: Senne Lammens, Matthijs de Ligt, Leny Yoro, Luke Shaw, Noussair Mazraoui, Casemiro, Bruno Fernandes, Patrick Dorgu, Mason Mount, Amad Diallo, Bryan Mbeumo.
Head coach: Ruben Amorim
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 15,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Crystal Palace vs Man Utd Prediction: Can United Breach Selhurst Park Fortress? Opta Analyst.
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