Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, August 9, 2025 ...Middle East

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The San Diego Padres (64-51), led by Xander Bogaerts on a two-game home run streak, are -146 favorites on the moneyline to defeat the Boston Red Sox (64-52). First pitch is set for 8:40 p.m. ET Saturday, live from PETCO Park and airing on SDPA and NESN.

Michael King will get the ball for San Diego while Boston will counter with Lucas Giolito.

Padres vs. Red Sox Odds

Padres odds to win: -146 Red Sox odds to win: +122 Spread: Padres -1.5 Total: 7.5 runs

Padres vs. Red Sox Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025 Time: 8:40 p.m. ET TV: SDPA and NESN

Who Will Win Padres vs. Red Sox?

Padres and Red Sox Betting Trends

The Padres are 37-25 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.7% of those games).

San Diego has gone 20-14 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -146 or shorter (58.8% winning percentage).

This season, the Red Sox have been the underdog 42 times and won 20, or 47.6%, of those games.

Boston has a record of 6-11 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least +122 on the moneyline.

The Padres have played in 115 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 46 times (46-64-5).

The Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 115 games with a total this season.

Padres Stats & Insights

The Padres have the No. 25 offense in MLB action scoring 4.1 runs per game (476 total runs).

San Diego is second-worst in MLB play with 98 home runs.

The Padres’ .251 batting average ranks 11th in the majors.

San Diego strikes out 7 times per game, the third-best average in baseball.

The pitching staff for the Padres has a collective 8.7 K/9, the eighth-best in the majors.

San Diego’s 3.60 team ERA ranks second across all MLB pitching staffs.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox have scored 577 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.

Boston has hit 141 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Red Sox have a team batting average of .254 this season, which ranks sixth among MLB teams.

Boston ranks just 27th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 whiffs per contest.

The Red Sox strike out 8.3 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 18th in MLB.

Boston has pitched to a 3.73 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.

Padres Key Players to Watch

King makes the start for the Padres, his 11th of the season. He is 4-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 55 2/3 innings pitched.

Manny Machado leads San Diego in home runs with 20, runs batted in with 72 and his batting average of .300 is also best on his team.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has 111 hits and an OBP of .364 to go with a slugging percentage of .434 this season.

Luis Arraez has 129 hits this season and a slash line of .291/.326/.396.

Bogaerts is batting .271 with an OBP of .340 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Giolito (8-2) will take the mound for the Red Sox, his 18th start of the season.

Jarren Duran has accumulated a team-high batting average of .264.

Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .264 to lead his team.

Trevor Story has accumulated a team-best 73 runs batted in.

Wilyer Abreu has hit 20 home runs to pace his team.

Padres and Red Sox Injuries

Padres: Jhony Brito: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Michael King: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Joe Musgrove: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

Red Sox: Marcelo Mayer: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Knee), Justin Slaten: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Josh Winckowski: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Guerrero: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kutter Crawford: 60 Day IL (Knee), Patrick Sandoval: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Hip), Tanner Houck: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Hunter Dobbins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Padres vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Red Sox 4 Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs

How to Bet on Padres vs. Red Sox

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