A pair of surging power hitters meet Saturday when Trevor Story — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Boston Red Sox (59-51) take on Yainer Diaz (home runs in two straight) and the Houston Astros (62-47). The Red Sox are favorites (-117) for the contest, which starts at 4:10 p.m. ET, live from Fenway Park and broadcast on NESN and SCHN.
Walker Buehler gets the starting nod for Boston while Colton Gordon is Houston’s starter for the contest.
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds
Red Sox odds to win: -117 Astros odds to win: -102 Spread: Red Sox -1.5 Total: 9.5 runsRed Sox vs. Astros Promo Codes
Game Time and Information
Date: Saturday, August 2, 2025 Time: 4:10 p.m. ET TV: NESN and SCHNWho Will Win Red Sox vs. Astros?
Red Sox and Astros Betting Trends
The Red Sox have gone 39-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.1% of those games).
Boston has gone 36-21 when it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -117 or shorter (63.2% winning percentage).
The Astros have been underdogs in 33 games this season and won 20 (60.6%) of those contests.
Houston has entered 27 games this season as the underdog by -102 or more and is 16-11 in those contests.
In the 109 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Red Sox, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 51 times (51-54-4).
So far this season, the Astros and their opponents have hit the over in 46 of their 109 games with a total.
Red Sox Stats & Insights
The Red Sox have the No. 4 offense in MLB action scoring five runs per game (545 total runs).
Boston ranks ninth in MLB action with 137 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.
The Red Sox have the seventh-best batting average in the majors (.253).
Boston strikes out 9 times per game, the third-worst average in baseball.
The pitching staff for the Red Sox has a collective 8.4 K/9, which ranks 15th in MLB.
Boston has the 10th-ranked team ERA across all MLB pitching staffs (3.77).
Astros Stats & Insights
The Astros have scored the 17th-most runs in the league this season with 473 (4.3 per game).
Houston has hit 120 homers this season, which ranks 14th in the majors.
The Astros’ .257 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking second in MLB.
Houston ranks eighth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.9 Ks per contest.
The Astros average 9.8 strikeouts per nine innings as a pitching staff, first-most in the big leagues.
Houston has the eighth-best ERA (3.69) in the majors this season.
Red Sox Key Players to Watch
Buehler gets the start for the Red Sox, his 19th of the season. He is 6-6 with a 5.72 ERA and 71 strikeouts through 89 2/3 innings pitched.
Jarren Duran leads Boston with a batting average of .265. He’s also hit 11 home runs with 60 RBI.
Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .262 with an OBP of .301 and a slugging percentage of .452 this season.
Story is among the top hitters for Boston with a .250 average, 17 homers and 65 RBI.
Wilyer Abreu leads Boston in home runs with 20 while driving in 57 runs and slugging .489.
Astros Key Players to Watch
The Astros will send Gordon (4-3) to the mound for his 13th start this season.
Jose Altuve paces the Astros with 57 runs batted in.
Jeremy Pena is batting .322 to lead his team.
Diaz is batting .252 with 14 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 15 walks.
Jesus Sanchez is batting .256 with 12 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 29 walks.
Red Sox and Astros Injuries
Red Sox: Marcelo Mayer: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Luis Guerrero: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Zack Kelly: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Knee), Nick Burdi: 60 Day IL (Knee), Justin Slaten: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Josh Winckowski: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kutter Crawford: 60 Day IL (Knee), Patrick Sandoval: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Hip), Tanner Houck: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Hunter Dobbins: 60 Day IL (Acl)
Astros: Isaac Paredes: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jake Meyers: 10 Day IL (Calf), Lance McCullers: 15 Day IL (Finger), Shawn Dubin: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Brandon Walter: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Spencer Arrighetti: 60 Day IL (Thumb), Ronel Blanco: 60 Day IL (Elbow), J.P. France: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Zach Dezenzo: 60 Day IL (Hand), Cristian Javier: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brendan Rodgers: 60 Day IL (Oblique), Hayden Wesneski: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Yordan Alvarez: 60 Day IL (Hand), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Pedro Leon: 60 Day IL (Knee)
Red Sox vs. Astros Prediction
Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Astros 4 Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runsHow to Bet on Red Sox vs. Astros
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