Aces vs Sparks: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – July 29 ...Middle East

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Kelsey Plum and the Los Angeles Sparks (11-14) face A’ja Wilson and the Las Vegas Aces (13-13) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at Crypto.com Arena, beginning at 10 p.m. ET.

Check out below to dig into the best bets you can make on Tuesday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

Pick the Sparks (+2.5) to Cover

The Aces have covered the spread in a matchup 11 times this season (11-15-0). The Sparks are 12-13-0 against the spread this season. In games they have played as 2.5-point favorites or more, the Aces have an ATS record of 6-8. In games this season when an underdog by 2.5 points or more, the Sparks have gone 7-6 against the spread.

Take the Under (174.5)

Aces games this season have featured more combined points than this contest’s total of 174.5 points eight times. The Sparks have played 12 games this season that have gone over 174.5 combined points scored. The two teams combine to score 166.3 points per game, 8.2 fewer points than this matchup’s total. Opponents of these two teams score 169.9 points per game combined, 4.6 fewer than this matchup’s total. The Aces have had an average of 163.7 points in their games this season, 10.8 fewer than this matchup’s total. The average over/under for Sparks contests this season is 165.4, 9.1 fewer points than this game’s point total.

Back the Sparks on the Moneyline (-149)

The Aces have won 11 of the 17 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (64.7%). This season, the Sparks have won five out of the 13 games, or 38.5%, in which they’ve been the underdog. The Aces are 9-5 (winning 64.3% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline favorite of -149 or shorter. The Sparks have a record of 5-8 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +125 on the moneyline. Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Aces’ implied win probability is 59.8%. The Sparks have a 44.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Top Aces Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U A’ja Wilson 22.5 9.5 – Jackie Young 15.5 3.5 4.5 Chelsea Gray – 4.5 Jewell Loyd – –

Top Sparks Props

Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Kelsey Plum 17.5 – 5.5 Dearica Hamby 15.5 8.5 – Rickea Jackson 13.5 – – Azurá Stevens 13.5 8.5 –

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