3-plus passing TDs Matthew Stafford has an elite matchup vs. a Washington Commanders’ defense that has allowed 150 points over its last four games and a secondary that ranks dead last in EPA/pass by a significant margin over that stretch. As bettors saw with Tua Tagoviola in Week 13 vs. this defense, the game script can keep the yardage down vs. Washington as the Miami QB finished with fewer than 300 yards despite nearly 150 yards in the first quarter alone. However, TDs are guaranteed and the floor for Stafford here is two TD passes. The Los Angeles Rams QB has thrown for at least three TDs in three straight games and faces a defense that has allowed Tua, Dak Prescott, Tommy DeVito, and
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