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Rate cuts by year-endFed: 83 bps (92% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting) ECB: 61 bps (75% probability of rate cut at the upc...

Economic slowdown in Switzerland cannot be ruled out.Trade policy situation is creating high uncertainty for all countries, including Switze...

Next policy steps are completely open.Tariff net impact so far rather disinflationary.I see economic scars even if tariffs are lowered.He's...

China and US are not having any consultations or negotiations on tariffs. This article was written by Giuseppe D...

FundamentalOverviewIt looks more and morelikely that gold reached an inflection point this week. The price continues toedge lower as more...

To maintain abundant liquidity and strengthen support for the real economyWill create structural monetary policy tolls and new policy-based...

Amid fears of the tariffs war getting worse, gold surged higher earlier in the week and briefly clipped the $3,500 mark. Some profit-taking...

It looks like they're starting to produce lists of exclusions for specific categoriesBut have not yet seen any official announcement or poli...

As we look to end the week, once again the impact of the option expiries should be relatively muted. There are some big ones but they aren't...

China said to weigh exempting some US goods from tariffs as costs riseJapan April Tokyo CPI ex-fresh food +3.4% vs +3.2% expectedJapan's Ish...

There are two separate reports on China tariffs. The first from Bloomberg says China is weighing exempting some US goods from tariffs.A sepa...

Canadian retail sales are due on Friday and expected to show a 0.4% m/m for the February reading but the real test will be the advance March...

Open to negotiate on non-tariff barriers, explore bilateral trade agreement, strengthen tech safeguards and securityWill explore alternative...

The Japanese yen and euro have both chalked up impressive year-to-date gains of around 12% against the US dollar, Bank of America argues tha...

Here is a good chart from Deutsche Bank that highlights several actual recessions and several times where a decession looked likely and how...

All parties called for the strengthening of dialogue and policy coordinationAll parties support the construction of a more-stable, efficient...

We might be seeing a US dollar catch-up trade in Asia.The dollar struggled in Thursday's US session even as stocks rallied and Treasury yiel...

Tariff wars and trade wars have further affected economic and financial stabilityAll parties should further improve the international econom...

First reading above 3% since July 2023Prior was +2.4%Overall CPI 3.5% vs 2.9% priorEx food and energy 2.0% y/y vs 1.1% priorEx food and ener...

Prior was -19The UK GfK Consumer Confidence Index tracks how confident people feel about the economy and their personal finances. GfK is a G...

Gold is trading $18 higher early in Asian trading to $3366. It rose as high as $3370 to briefly top the Asian peak from yesterday in a sign...

I'm worried that with the uncertainty, businesses will do layoffsNot seeing an uptick in layoffs yetSome businesses say they are scenario pl...

Uncertainty regarding global economy heighteningMust scrutinize impact on business confidenceWe will scrutinize without pre-conception wheth...

Cross-asset correlations have broken down this year. The old risk-on/risk-off trade has been dead for awhile as the market sorts through the...

Major US stock indices close higher with the S&P and NASDAQ both up over 2%Crude oil futures settled $62.79ECBs Knot: Medium term impact of...