Saturday’s Serie A action is headlined by a huge derby at San Siro, with the Nerazzurri still unbeaten at the start of their Scudetto defence. We look ahead to the game with our Milan vs Inter prediction and preview.
Milan vs Inter: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer makes Inter favourites to claim the bragging rights – and remain unbeaten in Serie A this season – with a 46.9% chance of defeating Milan. Considering three points per win all-time, Inter’s 25 points from nine games represents the joint-best start to a season in their Serie A history, alongside 1966-67 and 1988-89. Milan will be the designated ‘home’ team at San Siro, and they have lost five Serie A home games in 2026 – it’s only the fifth time they have hit that number in the last 50 years.Derby della Madonnina rivals Milan and Inter went into Serie A’s midweek slate as two of the four teams yet to suffer defeat in the division this season.
But while Lazio, Roma and Inter all earned three points, albeit in unconvincing fashion in the Nerazzurri’s case, Milan slumped to their first league loss under Ruben Amorim, going down 4-2 at home to Bologna.
Samuel Mbangula’s hat-trick condemned the Rossoneri to defeat, as he became just the second player to score an away Serie A treble against Milan after Gabriel Batistuta did so for Fiorentina in September 1998.
It was the first instance of Milan conceding four goals in a home Serie A match since January 2023, when they went down 5-2 to Sassuolo.
Amorim said afterwards that his team “looked tired from the first minute”, with a series of injuries – particularly in midfield – restricting his options. Milan had better find some energy from somewhere before Saturday, though, as they prepare to face old rivals Inter.
Wednesday’s defeat was Milan’s fifth in home Serie A games since the start of 2026, only the fifth time in the last 50 years that they have hit that figure in a single calendar year, after 1997 (five), 2012 (six), 2017 (seven) and 2021 (seven). Of course, both teams will be playing on their own turf at San Siro this weekend, but the Rossoneri are the designated ‘home’ side.
Reports suggest Milan are hoping to recover Alphadjo Cisse to maintain his strong form after he netted a first-half brace against Bologna.
At the age of 20 years and six days, his double – which took him to four Serie A goals for the season – made him the third-youngest Milan player to net more than twice in the competition during the three-points-per-win era (since 1994-95). Only Alexandre Pato (18 years and 147 days on January 27, 2008) and Stephan El Shaarawy (19 years and 332 days on September 23, 2012) did so at a younger age.
Cisse is also one of only three players to score at least one brace in both Serie A and a major UEFA competition this season, alongside Donyell Malen and Manuel Akanji, Henrikh Mkhitaryan all dropping to the bench.
Injured trio Curtis Jones, John Stones and Benjamin Pavard are all making progress, but Inter are again likely to be without their talisman Martínez, after he sustained a hamstring issue during their recent UEFA Champions League defeat to Club Brugge.
The Argentine has scored nine goals in 21 Derby della Madonnina appearances overall, in addition to providing three assists. He has faced Milan more often than any other club as an Inter player, while he has only provided more goal involvements versus Cagliari (13 – 12 goals, one assist).
His absence is clearly a major blow for the Nerazzurri, then, but they do have another attacker in tremendous form.
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