The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers are squaring off Sunday with the lead in the NFC North and playoff positioning on the line.
The Bears come into the game with a 9-3 record and the top seed in the NFC, marking the first time since the 2006 season that Chicago has been in the top spot in the NFC entering December.
Fans will surely remember that is also the last season that the Bears reached the Super Bowl, but the road to Santa Clara this season still has plenty of miles to cover for the Monsters of the Midway.
The Packers are coming into the game with an 8-3-1 record after beating the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day, leaving them just one-half game behind the Bears in the division standings.
To win the game, the Bears are going to have to do something they haven’t done in decades: win back-to-back games at Lambeau Field.
The Bears won the season finale in 2025 against the Packers at the venerable stadium, snapping an 11-game losing streak against their bitter rivals.
The last time the Bears were able to win consecutive road games against the Packers was all the way back in 2007 when they won their third straight game at Lambeau over Green Bay.
Needless to say, the reward for such a win would be significant. If they can secure that win, it would not only boost their division lead over the Packers, but it would also give them another NFC win, further cementing their tiebreaker edge over the Los Angeles Rams, who also enter this week at 9-3 on the season.
It would also help the Bears stay well ahead of the third-place Detroit Lions in the NFC North, which would also be helpful since the Lions are the first team out of the playoffs if the season were to end today.
According to the NFL’s Next Gen Stats model, a win by the Bears would boost their odds of reaching the postseason to 93%.
On the flip side, a loss by the Bears would still leave them in a playoff spot, but it would cut their chances of reaching the postseason to 70%, according to the NFL.
A Packers win would vault them into the top spot in the division, and would also give them an early tiebreaker over the Bears with one more game to play between the two teams.
The Packers would have a 95% chance to reach the postseason if they were to beat the Bears according to NFL Next Gen Stats, with a 75% chance to reach the playoffs with a loss.
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