ROCHESTER, N.Y. – As of Monday, radar imagery indicates widespread rainfall stretching from the Carolinas down the southeastern coastline toward Georgia and Florida. This heavy precipitation is raising concerns about potential flooding across the region. The primary drivers of this weather pattern are two tropical cyclones currently positioned in the Atlantic Ocean. First is Hurricane Humberto, with sustained winds of 140 miles per hour, and Tropical Storm Imelda, with winds of 60 miles per hour. Imelda has the potential to strengthen into a hurricane in the coming days.
What makes this situation particularly notable is the proximity of the two systems – approximately 650 miles apart. While that may seem like a considerable distance, it is relatively close by meteorological standards when it comes to tropical cyclones. This close spacing raises the possibility of a rare atmospheric interaction known as the Fujiwhara Effect.
First described by Japanese meteorologist Sakuhei Fujiwhara in the 1920s, the Fujiwhara Effect refers to the interaction between two nearby cyclonic systems. There are a few potential outcomes of this phenomenon:
The cyclones may begin to orbit around a common center, creating a “dance” effect. The systems could merge, typically with the weaker storm being absorbed by the stronger. Alternatively, they may repel or deflect one another, altering their original paths.Should any of these interactions occur, they would complicate forecasting efforts, including future tracks and intensities. The eventual outcome will depend on the relative size, strength, and distance between the two systems.
Occurrences of the Fujiwhara Effect are uncommon. The most recent notable instance was in 2017, when Hurricane Hilary and Tropical Storm Irwin exhibited this behavior over the Pacific Ocean.
As these Atlantic storms continue to evolve, meteorologists will be closely monitoring for signs of interaction. If the Fujiwhara Effect materializes, it could significantly influence not only the storms themselves but also weather conditions along the southeastern United States.
First Alert Weather In-Depth: Tracking two cyclones and a possible Fujiwhara event WHEC.com.
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