Can Graham Potter ease the pressure with a win at Hill Dickinson Stadium? We look ahead to Monday’s Premier League clash with our Everton vs West Ham United prediction and preview.
Everton vs West Ham: The Key Stats
Everton triumphed in a convincing 52.8% of pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer. Graham Potter has lost 52% of his Premier League matches with West Ham, the worst record of any permanent manager for the club. David Moyes has lost just two of 12 home games in the competition since returning to Everton (W4 D6).David Moyes will hope to pile more misery on his former side when Everton host West Ham United, with pressure mounting on Graham Potter heading into Monday’s clash.
Moyes guided West Ham to top-seven finishes in back-to-back seasons across the 2020-21 and 2021-22 campaigns, as well as winning the UEFA Europa Conference League the following year.
The Scot left the club at the end of the 2023-24 season, but West Ham have not found the change of direction they were searching for in Julen Lopetegui, nor with Potter, who was appointed in January.
They have lost four of their five top-flight games this campaign after Saturday’s 2-1 loss to Crystal Palace. Tyrick Mitchell scored the winner after Jarrod Bowen‘s equaliser, raising more questions over Potter’s future at the London Stadium.
The outlook overall is concerning, too, given West Ham have lost 12 of their 23 Premier League games overall under Potter. His 52% loss rate is the highest of any permanent manager for the club in the competition.
However, Potter’s side have won three of their last four away from home in the league (L1). A surprise 3-0 victory over Nottingham Forest at the City Ground marks West Ham’s only top-flight triumph this campaign.
Set-pieces have posed a heap of their problems. They have conceded seven goals from corners in the Premier League this season, just one fewer than they did in the whole of last term.
Indeed, a remarkable 32% of all corner goals in the 2025-26 competition have come against West Ham (7/22), but the underlying metrics suggest they have been unfortunate to be breached so often outside of timid set-piece defending.
Potter’s out-of-form side have conceded 13 goals from an xG against figure of 7.8. That difference of conceding five goals more than expected is the highest of any top-flight club this season.
In stark contrast to West Ham’s fortunes, Everton have not looked back since reappointing Moyes. They have lost just two of their 12 league home games since he returned to the club (W4 D6).
Everton’s impressive home run under Moyes includes two games this season at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium, where they are yet to concede in the Premier League. They opened with a 2-0 win over Brighton before sharing a goalless draw with struggling Aston Villa.
However, only Swansea City (at the Liberty Stadium) and Tottenham (at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium) have kept a clean sheet in each of their first three Premier League games at a home venue.
The Toffees, who are winless in their last three after Tuesday’s EFL Cup exit to Wolves, will also be looking to keep a clean sheet in each of their first three league matches at home in a season for the first time since 1987-88.
One West Ham player who could stop that from happening is Callum Wilson, who has scored eight goals in his last seven Premier League games against Everton. All of those strikes came as braces.
Wilson has only scored more against his current side West Ham (12), than he has against the Toffees (8) overall in the competition. He will hope that assures him Monday’s starting spot ahead of Niclas Füllkrug.
In terms of Potter’s other team news, Tomás Soucek is suspended for the trip to Merseyside after his red card against Tottenham on MD4. Aaron Wan-Bissaka could return from a problem with his stomach that kept him out of the Palace defeat.
Wan-Bissaka’s potential comeback could pose an interesting battle on the flanks. Only Bruno Fernandes (15) has created more chances in the Premier League this season than Jack Grealish (13), while the on-loan Manchester City winger has also won more fouls than any other player (17).
Grealish will be a certain starter along with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall and Iliman Ndiaye, in behind either Beto or Thierno Barry. Jarrad Branthwaite is Everton’s only confirmed absentee.
Everton vs West Ham Head-to-Head
Everton have won just one of their last five Premier League home games against West Ham (D1 L3).
Moyes was in either dugout for all of those matches, having visited four times with West Ham before managing Everton in a 1-1 draw between this pair last March.
In fact, both league matches between the two sides last season finished level after a goalless draw at the London Stadium in November.
However, Potter may be slightly optimistic given West Ham have only enjoyed more Premier League wins over Wolves (6) than they have against Everton (5) since the start of 2021.
Everton vs West Ham Prediction
The Opta supercomputer struggled to see West Ham getting much out of the game on Monday, with Everton winning 52.8% of 10,000 pre-match simulations by the Opta supercomputer.
A draw was rated at 24.2% in the same data-led sims, which only offered West Ham a 23.1% chance of claiming all three points for just the second time this campaign.
Everton vs West Ham Predicted Lineups
Everton: Jordan Pickford, Jake O’Brien, James Tarkowski, Michael Keane, Vitalii Mykolenko, James Garner, Idrissa Gueye, Iliman Ndiaye, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Jack Grealish, Beto.
Head Coach: David Moyes
West Ham: Mads Hermansen, Kyle Walker-Peters, Konstantinos Mavropanos, Max Kilman, El Hadji Malick Diouf, James Ward-Prowse, Soungoutou Magassa, Lucas Paquetá, Jarrod Bowen, Callum Wilson, Mateus Fernandes.
Head Coach: Graham Potter:
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Everton vs West Ham Prediction: Can Graham Potter Get Hammers Firing? Opta Analyst.
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