NFL prop bets today [September 11, 2025] ...Middle East

The Green Bay Packers face off against the Washington Commanders on Thursday night.

After comfortably beating the Detroit Lions in week one, the Green Bay Packers look to carry over their momentum in their matchup against the Washington Commanders on Thursday night. Even with the Commanders revamping their defense, the Packers deep group of pass catchers will have their secondary stretched out thin which will help increase the quality of Jordan Love’s throws.

Even though there is only one game being played on Thursday night, there are plenty of markets to groom through which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

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Washington Commanders vs Green Bay Packers (8:15pm, EST)

Jordan Love Over 220.5 Passing Yards: (-120) at BetMGM Sportsbook

Even though Jordan Love was held to just 188 total passing yards against the Detroit Lions weak secondary, he was still efficient with his throws as he completed 72% of his throws while ranking above league average in Completion Percentage Above Expected. His deep group of pass catchers helps stretch out opposing secondaries which drastically increases the quality of his passing lanes.

In Thursday night’s matchup against Washington, Love will have the opportunity to move the ball through the air at a more consistent rate as he faces off against a secondary who finished last year ranked 20th in Def Pass DVOA and 23rd in Def Pass EPA. Especially with his offensive line giving him the protection he needs to help let his plays develop as the Packers currently rank sixth in Pass Protection Win Rate.

Jordan Love Over 18.5 Pass Completions: (-135) at FanDuel Sportsbook

With Love getting to sit back in the pocket, his pass catchers will have more time in the open field to create separation from the Commanders coverage. This will help increase the quality of Love’s passing lanes as previously mentioned which also lessens the amount of Havoc in his throws. Expect Love to capitalize on his wider windows and continue to complete his passes at a high rate.

Jayden Daniels Longest Rush Under 15.5 Yards: (-118) at FanDuel Sportsbook

On the other side of the field, the Packers defense have taken a major step forward with their production as they consistently collapsed the Lions pocket and forced Jared Goff to get the ball out of his hands quicker than anticipated. Detroit’s PFF Grades showed how dominant the Packers defensive line was in their efforts of generating pressure as no one on the Lions front line received a grade higher than 80.0.

With the Commanders offensive line ranking below league average in PFF Grade, the Packers front seven will have the opportunity to build on their momentum and collapse their pocket at a consistent rate. While this may result in an uptick in rush attempts for Daniels, the Packers tendency to anchor their linebackers will drastically hurt his chances of generating an explosive play with his legs.

Terry McLaurin Under 56.5 Receiving Yards: (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook

It was a quiet season debut for the Commanders number one receiver Terry McLaurin as he was held to just 27 yards on 2 receptions in week one against the New York Giants. His lack of opportunities hurt his chances of putting together a productive performance as he received just four targets throughout the contest. With Daneils expected to be under relentless pressure, expect McLaurin to continue to struggle for the second week in a row.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Under 37.5 Rushing Yards: (-114) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not only did the Packers secondary thrive in coverage, but their front seven had no issue with shutting down the Lions ground game as they held Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to less than three yards per carry. The Packers front seven’s success with generating pressure off the line helped them plug the Lions rushing lanes which allowed them to make contact behind the line.

With the Commanders offensive line ranking below league average in Win Rate, their lack of push back hurts their chances of creating high quality rushing lanes for Jacory Croskey-Merritt to exploit. The Commanders are also projected to play from behind as the spread implies, meaning they mean lean into a pass heavy game script which will eat away at the total number of carries for their running backs.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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