Best MLB prop bets today [July 10, 2025] ...Middle East

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles kick off Thursday’s slate of games with a double header.

After Wednesday’s contest was postponed, the New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles are now locked into a double header to kick off Thursday’s slate of games.

With David Peterson set to take the mound, the Mets will have a great opportunity to secure game one of the series as the productive pitcher faces off against an offense who struggles with making contact and getting on base at a league average rate.

With eleven games taking place on Thursday, there are plenty of prop bets to wager on which you can read a detailed breakdown of them below.

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New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles (12:05pm, EST)

David Peterson Under 2.5 Earned Runs: (-130) at BetMGM Sportsbook

The New York Mets resurgence on defense can be attributed to their pitching staff as their rotation gives them a high level of production on a nightly basis. David Peterson has played a major role in their success this year as the Mets pitcher is currently averaging an ERA of 3.18, a FIP of 3.51, and less than one Hit Allowed per Inning Pitched.

Even though his WHIP indicates negative regression is looming large, Peterson gets the benefit of being surrounded by a back end who excels in coverage as their above league average mark in Defensive Efficiency indicates. Peterson is also in a great position to push aside regression as he faces off against a Baltimore offense who ranks near the bottom of the board in Contact Rate and in On Base Percentage.

David Peterson Over 17.5 Outs: (-165) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Not only do the Orioles struggle with making contact, but their inability to generate Hits also hurts their chances of scoring as their lineup ranks below league average in Total Runs Scored and in RBIs.

This will help Peterson keep them out of scoring position which increases his chances of going the full length of his start. Should the total on his Outs prop cross through the key number of 18, then pass on this market.

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox (7:10pm, EST)

Taj Bradley Under 5.5 Strikeouts: (-145) at FanDuel Sportsbook

Unlike Peterson, Taj Bradley draws a far tougher assignment as he is set to face off against the Boston Red Sox who currently lead the league in Contact Rate while also ranking above league average in Slugger Percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays pitcher has struggled with his command this season as he currently averages a FIP of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.300.

Bradley’s struggles with punching out will be on full display as the Rays pitcher also averages less than one Strikeout per Inning Pitched. Especially with the Boston Red Sox making contact at a high rate as previously mentioned, making Bradley’s Strikeout prop the perfect market to escalator bet by placing smaller wagers on his alternate totals at the best available odds.

Walker Buehler Under 15.5 Outs: (-125) at FanDuel Sportsbook

On the other side of the field, Walker Buehler is also in for a long night as he is set to battle it out against a Rays offense who ranks above league average in the same previously mentioned metrics.

Especially with his back end failing to give him the coverage he needs to help mask his low level of play on the mound as the Red Sox defense ranks 26th overall in Defensive Efficiency and 29th in Fielding Percentage.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres (9:40pm, EST)

One Run to be Scored in the First Inning: (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook

With his defense tumbling down the board in Fielding Percentage, Randy Vasquez is prone for an underwhelming performance as the San Diego Padres pitcher faces off against an Arizona Diamondbacks offense who ranks near the top of the board in Team Total Hits, Total Runs Scored, and in On Base Percentage.

Fortunately for the Padres, their offense will have the opportunity to match the Diamondbacks hot start to the contest as they are set to battle it out against Eduardo Rodriguez who has severely underwhelmed this season. Heading into Thursday, Rodriguez is averaging an ERA of 5.78, a WHIP of 1.624, and a FIP of 4.29.

About the author

Kody Malstrom

Kody Malstrom is a professional sports bettor and sports betting journalist with six years of experience covering a vast majority of sports. He covers football, basketball, hockey, baseball, and the UFC in written and video form.

Born and raised in Michigan, Kody is a Detroit sports fan who spends all of his Sundays in the fall rooting for the Detroit Lions and Saturdays watching as much College Football as possible. In the winter, he shifts his focus to the Detroit Red Wings and Pistons while simultaneously rooting for his North Carolina Tar Heels.

When he is not staring at betting markets, you can find Kody at the beach or snowboarding down a mountain, depending on the time of the year.

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