The Bears, Broncos, Steelers, and Raiders share the best NFL ATS records at 6-2 heading into Sunday’s Week 9 games.
Four teams, four very different stories. Chicago and Denver are winning and covering. Pittsburgh is on a bye. Las Vegas keeps covering spreads in games the books expected it to lose. If you bet sides every week, these are the teams the market has been slowest to figure out, and that is worth knowing before you place a single bet this weekend.
What Are the Best NFL ATS Records Right Now?
The best ATS records in the NFL belong to the Bears, Broncos, Steelers, and Raiders, all 6-2 against the spread through eight games. The Bills and Giants are next at 5-2. The Packers, Browns, and Jaguars are 5-3. These numbers come from two separate ATS trackers that agree on every team listed here, current through Thursday night’s game.
Chicago Bears: 6-2 Denver Broncos: 6-2 Pittsburgh Steelers: 6-2 Las Vegas Raiders: 6-2 Buffalo Bills: 5-2 New York Giants: 5-2 Green Bay Packers: 5-3 Cleveland Browns: 5-3 Jacksonville Jaguars: 5-3One caution on trackers. They do not always grade games the same way, because closing lines differ by book. A team covering at -6.5 can push at -7 somewhere else. For a handful of teams, mostly in the middle of the pack, the two trackers I checked disagree by a push. None of the teams above are among them.
The Bears Are 6-2 ATS and Laying 6 on Sunday Night
Chicago is 6-2 against the spread and 6-2 straight up, and it hosts Tampa Bay on Sunday Night Football as a 6-point favorite (6.5 at FanDuel). The Bears covered last week as a 3-point underdog in Seattle, winning 34-17, and that result finally pushed books to price them like a top team.
That is the question for ATS bettors. Is the value gone? When a team covers this often, the line eventually catches up. Chicago went from underdog in Seattle to almost a touchdown favorite in one week, and it is on six days of rest after Monday night. Tampa Bay just ran for 324 yards against Atlanta and has won three of four.
I still lean Chicago, but at -6 and not higher. The number has done a lot of work already.
Nov 2, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) ptches the ball to running back Roschon Johnson (23) against the Seattle Seahawks during the third quarter at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-Imagn ImagesBroncos at Panthers: Denver Gets a Short Number
Denver is 6-2 against the spread and only a 2.5-point road favorite at Carolina on Sunday. Every book I checked has the Broncos at -2.5, with the total at 44 to 44.5. That is a modest price for one of the four best cover teams in the league.
The Broncos have been one of the most dependable sides of the season. Laying under a field goal is about as friendly as a road spread gets. They did lose running back RJ Harvey to injured reserve last week, so the backfield looks a little different.
Of the 6-2 teams in action this weekend, Denver has the cleanest setup. You are not paying a premium for the record.
Raiders at 49ers: Can Las Vegas Keep Covering as a Big Underdog?
Las Vegas is 6-2 against the spread and a 10-point underdog at San Francisco, with FanDuel at 9.5. The total sits at 51.5 to 52.5.
Big road dogs with a covering habit are tempting. But the 49ers are a different level of opponent than most of what Las Vegas has seen. I would rather take the 10 than the 9.5 if you go this way, and I would not bet it on the record alone.
Nov 1, 2026; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; Las Vegas Raiders quarterback Kirk Cousins (8) looks to pass against the New York Jets during the fourth quarter at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-Imagn ImagesGiants vs Eagles: Best ATS Team Against the Worst
The Giants, 5-2 against the spread, are 3-point road favorites at Philadelphia, a team that is 1-7 ATS. That is one of the strangest sentences of the season. DraftKings has New York at -3.5, and the rest of the market sits at -3. The total is 38.5 everywhere.
Philadelphia has failed to cover seven of eight games. At some point a team that bad against the number turns into a value play, because the market overcorrects. Is this the week? Getting points at home against a division rival with a 38.5 total is a decent spot to find out. I would look at Philadelphia +3.5 at DraftKings before I lay points with New York.
The Rest of the Top ATS Teams This Week
Green Bay is 5-3 ATS and a 3-point underdog at New England, with the total down from 47 or 47.5 to 44.5. Cleveland is 5-3 and a 3-point underdog at New Orleans, and the Browns appear to be heading toward Shedeur Sanders at quarterback with Deshaun Watson in the concussion protocol. That is a big variable for a cover team.
Jacksonville moved to 5-3 Thursday night, beating Baltimore 33-10 as a road favorite of 9.5 to 10 points. Buffalo is 5-2 and plays Monday night at Minnesota as a 3-point favorite.
Worst NFL ATS Records Heading Into Sunday
The worst ATS record in the NFL belongs to the Chargers, who have not covered a single game. One tracker has them 0-7 against the spread and the other 0-6-1. The Eagles are 1-7, the Ravens fell to 2-7 Thursday night, and the Texans are 2-5.
Here is the fun part. The Chargers host the Texans on Sunday, so two of the four worst cover teams meet. Houston is the favorite by 5 to 6 points, and the total is 40.5. Somebody’s bad ATS record has to improve, at least a little.
For more background on how these records are built, our earlier NFL ATS records breakdown covers the basics. Our NFL picks hub has every Week 9 game, and you can compare books on our list of the best sports betting sites.
Oct 4, 2026; Seattle, Washington, USA; Los Angeles Chargers linebacker Khalil Mack (52) is seen against the Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Lumen Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-Imagn ImagesHow to Use ATS Records When You Bet
An ATS record tells you how often a team beat the market’s expectation. It does not tell you what happens next. Lines adjust to good cover teams quickly, so the 6-2 team you are backing this week may be priced a point or two higher than it was a month ago.
Use the records as a starting point. Ask why a team has covered. Is it a defense that keeps games close, a schedule full of soft opponents, or a few lucky late scores? Then check whether this week’s number already accounts for it. The Bears’ jump from +3 to -6 in one week is a good example of the market catching up fast.
Best NFL ATS Records FAQ
Which NFL team has the best record against the spread?
The Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Las Vegas Raiders are tied for the best NFL ATS record at 6-2 heading into Sunday’s Week 9 games. The Buffalo Bills and New York Giants are next at 5-2.
What does ATS mean in sports betting?
ATS stands for against the spread. A team’s ATS record counts how often it covered the point spread, meaning it won by more than the spread as a favorite or lost by less than the spread, or won outright, as an underdog.
Which NFL team has the worst ATS record?
The Los Angeles Chargers have the worst ATS record in the NFL and have not covered a game this season. Trackers list them at 0-7 or 0-6-1, depending on how one game was graded. The Philadelphia Eagles are next at 1-7.
Is a good ATS record a reason to bet on a team?
A strong ATS record is a reason to look closer, not a reason to bet automatically. Sportsbooks adjust lines for teams that cover often, so a 6-2 team’s price this week usually reflects that run. Check the current number against what the team was getting earlier in the season.
Responsible Gambling
Trends like ATS records are fun to follow, and they can make a bet feel safer than it is. A 6-2 record does not mean the next game is a lock. Every game is its own event, and good cover teams lose against the number all the time.
Set a budget for the whole weekend before Sunday starts, and keep each bet to a small part of your bankroll. Do not raise your stakes because a team has been on a heater, and do not chase losses into the night games.
Treat betting as entertainment. Use the deposit limits and time-out tools your sportsbook offers, and step away when it stops being fun.
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Responsible Gaming Resources
Hence then, the article about best nfl ats records including bears and broncos heading into sunday was published today ( ) and is available on Bleacher Nation ( Middle East ) The editorial team at PressBee has edited and verified it, and it may have been modified, fully republished, or quoted. You can read and follow the updates of this news or article from its original source.
Read More Details
Finally We wish PressBee provided you with enough information of ( Best NFL ATS Records Including Bears and Broncos Heading Into Sunday )
Also on site :