ESPN’s SP+ has a prediction for Saturday night’s SEC showdown in Austin, and it favors the team that comes in struggling over the team that comes in surging.
Ultimately, Ole Miss and Texas will decide things on the field, in a game that kicks off around 7:30 p.m. ET, with a national TV audience on ABC watching closely.
Can Arch Manning and Steve Sarkisian co-exist in a crucial, season-saving situation as Texas tries to end its 2-game skid that has taken it from No. 1 all the way to No. 19?
Or does Trinidad Chambliss and 7th-ranked Ole Miss storm into Austin and keep rolling while keeping Texas reeling?
It’ll be must-see TV, and ESPN’s SP+ believes it’ll be the home team in burnt orange that saves its season and College Football Playoff hopes and comes away with a 31-24 victory.
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While Sarkisian has dealt with a ton of criticism in the aftermath of losses to Oklahoma and Florida — who were both unranked — like on Friday morning from ESPN analyst Dan Orlovsky, he can wipe away some of that with 1 solid performance against a really good Rebels team. ESPN SP+ believes Sarkisian and Co. will quiet the critics, for a little time at least, with a huge home victory in primetime on Saturday night.
Texas is a slight home favorite in the matchup, so it’s not like the Horns winning would be a monster upset, or even an upset at all. But the momentum going into the matchup belongs to Ole Miss, although ESPN’s SP+ is predicting the team without the momentum to come out on top on its home field.
Here is that prediction as well as the other predictions for a stacked Week 8 schedule:
WEEK 8 SP+ PICKSIndiana 26, Michigan 18Utah 33, Houston 25BYU 32, UCF 17Horns 31, Rebs 24 ()LSU 30, Auburn 19Miami 35, Pitt 17Hawkeyes 27, Gophers 19USC 28, Wisconsin 23Bama 32, A&M 21REALLY low point totals this week. Odd.All games: t.co/73kYGhmtmG pic.twitter.com/wMbYt0YPzI
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) October 18, 2026While the ESPN SP+ has its own opinion on the Ole Miss-Texas matchup, here is what the Kalshi market is currently saying about the huge SEC primetime showdown in Austin:
Prediction Markets Ole Miss at Texas Learn more about Prediction Markets Kalshi Texas 59% Ole Miss 41% PredictESPN’s SP+ predicts the final score of Ole Miss-Texas primetime showdown Saturday Down South.
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