Iran and Oman are reportedly nearing an arrangement to govern commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor that Iran effectively closed at the start of the war. Washington has opposed giving Iran control over traffic through the Strait or allowing it to charge vessels for passage.
Trump later told reporters, “I don’t think they [Oman] behaved very well, but we’d handle them very easily, just like we do other things.” It’s unclear what exactly Oman has done to upset the U.S. President. TIME has reached out to the White House for comment.
Trump has threatened to bomb Oman, a longtime security partner of the U.S., before. In late May, amid reports that Muscat and Tehran were discussing maritime service fees, Trump warned Oman would “behave just like everybody else, or we will have to blow them up.”
But renewed attacks beginning in late June effectively collapsed the accord, and key issues over the Strait’s administration and Iran’s nuclear program remain unresolved.
But it appears that global shipping and supply disruptions are likely to persist. Asked by reporters if the U.S. planned to extend the MOU, Trump said, “No.”
Pressure points
In recent days, Trump has appeared focused on intensifying economic pressure on Iran as opposed to returning to full-scale combat operations. After initially weighing a “massive attack” on Iran, Trump told Axios earlier this month that the U.S. is “low-keying it” with Iran.
“Now maybe that will stop, or maybe it’ll open up even further,” Trump said of the blockade on Monday. “But we’re taking out millions of barrels of oil a week. If you look at the kind of numbers that we’re doing ... the Strait is open, and the oil prices are coming down, and they will continue to come down unless we decide to do something far more drastic than we’re doing.”
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent also promised further measures under what the Administration has called “Economic Fury.”
An arrangement that gives Iran a formal role in managing shipping through the Strait could reduce global economic pain if it restores shipping, but it could also institutionalize Tehran’s leverage and weaken Washington’s pressure campaign.
Last week, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi warned that Iran could target U.S. and regional allies’ infrastructure, including energy networks, power plants, and internet systems, if the U.S. attacks Iran’s civilian infrastructure—which Trump threatened to do as recently as July 22.
Analysts previously told TIME that Trump has more to lose politically from a prolonged conflict than Iran’s leadership, which could incentivize Tehran to accept bigger risks in pursuit of more substantial U.S. concessions. Iranian officials have also signaled awareness of reports that the war has severely depleted key U.S. munitions, which Trump has vehemently denied.
Trump has continued to insist that the U.S. has the upper hand. Last week, Trump floated the idea of declaring the Strait of Hormuz a U.S. territory—echoing his earlier suggestions that the U.S. “run” the waterway. On Monday, he told reporters, “We have total control over the Strait.”
Iranian officials are “good poker players,” Trump said. “But they’re dying.”
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