Another severe weather outbreak is expected in Illinois and Indiana Wednesday, when the area will once again have a risk of intense long-track tornadoes.
The ingredients for significant tornadoes are most likely to be in place south of I-80 between about 2 p.m. and 9 p.m. Wednesday.Unfortunately, EF-3 tornadoes are again on the table of hazards, following destructive storms that hit several parts of the Chicago area last week.
There’s going to be a round of less intense storms Wednesday morning that could alter the path of the storms in the afternoon.Heavy rain, strong gusts, and hail will be possible in a few morning storms between 9 a.m. and 12 p.m.
There may be a short break before stronger storms move in from the northwest after 2 p.m. The most likely window for severe storms in central Cook County is 4-7 p.m.
The risk area could shift slightly to the north or south depending on how far north the warm front makes it after the round of morning thunderstorms. Places south of the warm front will have a greater risk of individual supercell thunderstorms that, along with strong tornadoes, could produce tennis ball-sized hail.
Areas north of the warm front will still be at risk of damaging straight-line winds over 70 mph, and embedded lower-end tornadoes in any lines of storms that develop. There is also a higher risk of flash flooding than in recent storms, with some areas potentially getting more than 3 inches of rain. Rain rates could exceed 2 inches per hour at times.
Individual storms are typically stronger during severe weather events like this compared to when storms merge into a squall line.There is still some uncertainty to how long storms will stay more isolated before merging into a line.
Residents should have a way to receive alerts and know where to go during a tornado warning. When strong tornadoes like this are possible, it’s a good idea to have a severe weather kit in your safe place that includes shoes and a helmet.While it’s always unlikely to get hit with destruction, it’s good to be prepared.
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