Echoing his false claims about the 2020 presidential election, Trump suggested that the pace of the vote count in the closely watched gubernatorial and mayoral primaries, and Republicans losing ground as mail-in ballots were tallied, was evidence of fraud.
Read More: The Facts About Mail-In Voting Fraud
Unsubstantiated claims about the California elections have spread in recent days among Republicans and right-wing commentators.
Republican commentator Meghan McCain wrote: “For whatever it’s worth, people in my life who have never ever spoken about stolen elections in any capacity are now saying this about California…”
Most of the claims of fraud appear to stem from a misunderstanding of how California counts its ballots—and specifically, the time it takes the state to complete its tally.
The primaries will determine which two candidates in the races for both California Governor and Los Angeles mayor will compete in a general election in November. In the crowded field for the California Governor’s race, Biden-era Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra has already advanced to the runoff, while Republican and British-American former Fox News host Steve Hilton and Democrat billionaire Tom Steyer are close behind, vying for the second spot. In the race for Los Angeles mayor, incumbent Karen Bass is in the lead with 34.81% of the vote, while the gap between votes for progressive Councilmember Nithya Raman and Republican Spencer Pratt grows tighter.
California election officials warned that counting could take longer than expected in the run-up to the vote, and prepared for people to claim the delays were the result of fraud.
“We face an assault on our democratic values unlike anything we have seen in our lifetimes, and it’s our job to safeguard those values,” Newsom said in the letter.
Mail-in ballots account for around 80% of votes in California, and state law allows ballots to arrive up to seven days after Election Day as long as they are postmarked on Election Day. According to the Secretary of State, about 13 million of the approximately 16 million votes in the 2024 presidential election in California were cast by mail.
The curing process adds more time
In addition to mail-in ballots, the California system has one of the longest “curing” processes in the country, allowing voters to correct ballot issues by re-signing if their signature doesn’t match during verification.
A mirror of 2020 false election fraud claims
While voters of every political affiliation cast ballots by mail, Democrats tend to use them more. Because mail ballots take longer to count than in-person votes, the count tends to shift toward Democrats over time, a phenomenon known as “the blue shift” or “red mirage.”
A study published by the Brookings Institution in November found that cases of mail-in voting fraud accounted for only 0.000043% of all mail ballots, or roughly four out of every 10 million.
Hilton, Trump’s pick for governor in California, said his team has not seen anything illegal in the primaries, even as he called for an overhaul of the election system.
Pratt, meanwhile, shared a meme on X indicating he was confused by the vote-counting process.
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