It all comes down to this. Will Spurs avoid the embarrassment of relegation on the final day? We look ahead to Sunday’s Premier League clash at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium with our Tottenham vs Everton prediction and preview.
Tottenham vs Everton: The Key Stats
With one point realistically enough to keep Tottenham afloat, the Opta supercomputer gives Sunday’s hosts a 49.3% chance of victory, and there’s a 23.3% chance of a draw. Only in 27.4% of Opta’s 10,000 pre-match simulations did Everton come out on top, as the Toffees look to end a six-game winless streak and finish their season on a high. Following a 3-0 away win in October, Spurs are aiming to complete their first Premier League double over Everton since 2017-18.Destiny awaits relegation-threatened Tottenham, who have yet to secure safety ahead of Everton’s visit to north London.
Spurs are one of six founding Premier League clubs yet to suffer the pain of demotion in the competition’s 34-year history, but they remain in a perilous position before the final matchday.
Though they lifted the Europa League trophy just 12 months ago, and started this season in the Champions League, Spurs sit 17th in England’s top tier and with their fate still in the balance.
They are two points ahead of West Ham in 18th. Only a win will mathematically guarantee survival, albeit a draw would surely secure their Premier League status due to West Ham’s vastly inferior goal difference.
However, if Spurs were to lose and the Hammers win at home to Leeds United, then Roberto De Zerbi’s side would slip through the trap door.
It could all have been so different, but Tuesday’s 2-1 defeat at Chelsea cost Spurs the chance to avoid such a nail-biting finale.
So, it goes right down to the wire, with a crucial home fixture at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
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1 day ago David SegarThat will concern angst-ridden Spurs fans, who have seen their side produce just two wins from 18 Premier League home games this season.
Indeed, Tottenham are currently winless in 10 top-flight home matches (D4 L6), which represents the second-longest run in their history, after a 14-game drought between October 1993 and April 1994.
Meanwhile, mid-table Everton are enduring their worst Premier League streak since the spring of 2024, when they went 13 games without victory under Sean Dyche.
Such a dip has come at a terrible time for the Toffees, who were eyeing European qualification before going six without a win (D3 L3) since the start of April. After Chelsea’s win on Tuesday, David Moyes’ side can no longer reach Europe.
Points have been slipping through their grasp with infuriating regularity: Everton have led in each of their last three games, but have failed to win any of them (D2 L1).
The Merseyside club squandered another lead in last week’s home loss to Sunderland. A dismal 3-1 defeat saw swathes of fans leave before captain James Maddison magic from the first whistle, De Zerbi has kept faith with the same XI for three consecutive matches, but it remains to be seen whether events at Stamford Bridge alter his thinking.
Guglielmo Vicario, who returned to the bench in midweek and could feature, while Micky van de Ven struck twice at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Tottenham have won three of their last five meetings with Everton, racking up 13 goals in the process.
The Toffees have lost 11 of their last 16 Premier League away games against Spurs (W1 D4), only scoring once across the last four.
Tottenham are looking to do their first league double over Everton for eight years.
Tottenham vs Everton Prediction
The Opta supercomputer makes Tottenham favourites, with a 49.3% probability of winning. A draw would almost certainly be fine, too, which occurs in 23.3% of the 10,000 pre-match simulations.
Everton won in 27.4% of sims, which would open the door for Moyes’ former employers West Ham to potentially stay up.
Tottenham vs Everton Predicted Lineups
Tottenham: Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Kevin Danso, Micky van de Ven, Destiny Udogie, João Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancur, Conor Gallagher, Randal Kolo Muani, Mathys Tel, Richarlison.
Head coach: Roberto De Zerbi
Everton: Jordan Pickford, Jake O’Brien, Michael Keane, James Tarkowski, Vitalii Mykolenko, Tim Iroegbunam, James Garner, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye, Dwight McNeil, Beto.
Head coach: David Moyes
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system that assigns an ability score to over 13,000 domestic football teams on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world, and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this Sunday, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Tottenham vs Everton Prediction: Can Spurs Secure Final-Day Survival? Opta Analyst.
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