Even as the offense struggles right now – BADLY – I do think we have to remember where the biggest needs on this club are likely to be in the months ahead. That is with the pitching staff thanks to the absolute overload of injuries (including Edward Cabrera’s blister issue) … buuuuut no impact trades are expected any time soon.
Cubs President Jed Hoyer was on The Score discussing a range of topics (the full interview is embedded at the bottom of this post), and, among them, he talked about the nature of trades this time of year. Sure, the Cubs would love to fill some gaps now, and sure, they’ve had some trade talks. But those have been lower-tier situations, and the big moves just don’t happen until later for a lot of reasons, as Hoyer explained.
“Of all the sports, baseball is the one where, starting in April, people start talking about the Trade Deadline,” Hoyer said. “It’s just the nature of how the sport is covered. People feel like you can always go out and get replacements externally. The reality is, we’ve had discussions with teams about guys who are probably struggling and where there may be a buy-low opportunity. But to go out and get someone who’s pitching well early in the season, it’s just not realistic. For a team to sell a starting pitcher for prospects this time of year is just unbelievably unusual. For the most part, teams would wait to get a higher price if they know they’re going to sell. And a lot of teams right now simply don’t know.”
“Think back to 2023,” Hoyer continued. “We were going to be a seller until about July 20th, then we won nine out of 10. Teams look at it that way, especially in the American League. The National League looks like it’s going to take a fair number of wins to make the postseason. There are so many good teams. In the American League, a pretty low win total could very easily sneak into the playoffs. So if you’re five, six, eight games under right now, you’re certainly not feeling out of the race …. Teams are patient. That’s really why you don’t see deals.”
So, this time of year, as we’ve seen time and again, the reinforcements pretty much have to come either internally or from fringier, low-cost-type moves. The Cubs will keep scouring the waiver wire and the minor league free agent market, plus the margins of 40-man rosters where there might be an opportunistic trade. But mostly, they’ll just be trying to keep guys like Edward Cabrera healthy, get guys like Matthew Boyd healthy, and then see what the market looks like in July.
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