Revisiting My 2025 Chicago Bears Season Predictions ...Middle East

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Preseason predictions are easy to make and hard to revisit — especially after a season that rewrote expectations. As the Bears head into the playoffs, it’s worth circling back on the calls made in August, separating the hits from the misses and those that landed somewhere in between.

From individual breakout seasons to franchise-altering decisions, these predictions offer a snapshot of just how much changed — and how much became clear — over the course of Chicago’s remarkable 2025 campaign.

Reasonable Expectations for the 2025 Chicago Bears

Original Prediction: Caleb Williams will become the Chicago Bears’ first 4,000-yard passer.

Williams fell just short — 58 yards shy — of becoming the first 4,000-yard passer in franchise history, but he still rewrote the Bears’ record book. He surpassed Erik Kramer’s long-standing single-season passing mark (3,838), finishing the year with 3,942 passing yards, and accounted for 4,280 total yards through the air and on the ground.

Result: Miss

Original Prediction: He’s also going to break the franchise’s single-season passing touchdown record.

Williams’ 27 passing touchdowns finished two shy of Erik Kramer’s 1995 franchise record of 29, but still tied Jay Cutler for the third-most in a single season in Bears history. Even without the record, Williams raised his passing touchdown total by seven from his rookie year and accounted for 31 total touchdowns — through the air, on the ground, and one as a receiver — in Ben Johnson’s offense.

Result: Miss

Matt Marton-Imagn Images

Original Prediction: The Bears will have four 600-yard receivers this season.

This was one of the bolder preseason calls — and it held up. Colston Loveland (713), DJ Moore (682), Rome Odunze (661), and Luther Burden III (652) all finished north of the mark. That makes the accomplishment even more impressive, given that Loveland and Burden weren’t focal points early in the season, and Odunze missed most of the final month with a foot injury — a clear reflection of how balanced and scalable Chicago’s passing attack became over the course of the year.

Result: Hit

Bold Predictions for the 2025 Chicago Bears

Original Prediction: Not only will they not finish last in the NFC North, but they’ll also earn a wild card berth and make their return to the postseason.

The original prediction was simple: the Bears wouldn’t finish last in the NFC North and would do enough to earn a wild card spot. What followed was far more dramatic. The Chicago Bears didn’t just avoid the cellar — they won the NFC North, seizing the division in convincing fashion and returning to the postseason as champions. In Year 1 of the Ben Johnson era, Chicago didn’t just accelerate its timeline; it completely rewrote expectations.

Result: Hit (and exceeded)

Original Prediction: Ben Johnson will win the NFL Coach of the Year Award.

The original prediction was that Ben Johnson would win the NFL Coach of the Year award. We won’t know the final result until later this month, but there’s no question he deserves to be squarely in the conversation. In a year with no shortage of strong candidates, Johnson’s impact on the Bears — from offensive identity to organizational turnaround — makes him as worthy as anyone on the ballot.

You can read about why I voted for him on my PFWA awards ballot, here:

"Ultimately, Johnson stood apart due to scale. He didn’t just maximize one side of the ball — he reshaped the Bears’ identity, and elevated a young quarterback."Why I voted for Ben Johnson (and 4 other Bears) on my PFWA awards ballot. Story @BN_Bears: t.co/C12c1S9MPV

— Patrick K. Flowers (@PatrickKFlowers) January 6, 2026

Result: TBD

Original Prediction: Bears rookie running back Kyle Monangai will rush for 700-plus yards and seven touchdowns.

The call was that rookie running back Kyle Monangai would rush for 700-plus yards and seven touchdowns. He cleared the yardage threshold with ease, finishing with 783 rushing yards, but came up short in the touchdown department with five. Even so, Monangai’s rookie season was everything the Bears could have hoped for — and then some.

This prediction was rooted in the belief that Monangai would eventually surpass D’Andre Swift on the depth chart. That didn’t happen, largely because Swift turned in a career year, piling up 1,087 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Still, Monangai nearly hit the mark while sharing a backfield, carrying the ball 169 times compared to Swift’s 223, and firmly establishing himself as a long-term piece of Chicago’s offense.

Result: Miss

Original Prediction: Colston Loveland will finish the season with at least 75 catches and 750 yards.

The preseason call was that Colston Loveland would finish the year with at least 75 catches and 750 yards. He fell just short, ending the season with 58 receptions for 713 yards while adding six touchdowns for good measure. Loveland wasn’t a focal point of the offense as early as expected, but once his role expanded, he more than lived up to his pre-draft scouting profile — leading the Chicago Bears in receptions and receiving yards, and tying DJ Moore and Rome Odunze for the team lead in receiving touchdowns.

Result: Miss

Mike Dinovo-Imagn Images

Original Prediction: I think Joe Thuney will be as good as advertised this season and take home the first-ever Protector of the Year Award.

The preseason prediction was that Joe Thuney would be as good as advertised — and potentially take home the first-ever Protector of the Year Award. Like Ben Johnson and Coach of the Year, we won’t know the final outcome until later this month, but Thuney didn’t just meet expectations in 2025 — he exceeded them. I voted for Thuney for All-NFL and All-NFC honors because he may have been the Bears’ most important player this season, regardless of position.

David Banks-Imagn Images

Thuney was the stabilizing force for an offensive line that featured four new starters, instantly raising both its floor and ceiling. He elevated everyone around him, including rookie left tackle Ozzy Trapilo to his left and center Drew Dalman to his right, allowing the Bears to function offensively at a level they hadn’t reached in years. The results were unmistakable: Caleb Williams was sacked 68 times in 2024, a number that dropped to 24 in 2025 — a 64.7 percent reduction — with Thuney as the linchpin of that transformation.

Individually, Thuney was dominant. His 87.6 PFF pass-blocking grade led all guards; he allowed zero sacks (first at the position), played 1,094 offensive snaps (second-most among guards), and was penalized just twice all season. Even in the run game, where Chicago’s offense found its identity, Thuney held his own (70.4 run-blocking grade, 19th of 82 guards) while helping power an attack that consistently controlled games. His 78.5 overall PFF grade ranked sixth among all guards, but his true value went beyond metrics — Thuney set the tone and became the standard for a rebuilt offensive front.

Results: Trending Toward a Hit

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