NASCAR Championship Odds, Preview, & More as the 2025 Season Concludes at Phoenix Raceway   ...Middle East

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Phoenix Raceway welcomes NASCAR for the conclusion of the 2025 season and perhaps the current, 1-race championship format as we know it. Heading into the weekend, all three series feature the best of the best, with Trucks and Xfinity boasting double-digit race winners, and the Cup participants making up what may possibly be the strongest in Championship 4 history. So, before NASCAR’s best take the green flag on the 1-mile flat oval in the desert, let’s take a quick look at the Championship odds for all three series.

Truck Series Championship Odds

*Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

If there was ever a season that would have put an end to the current NASCAR playoff format, a format that many have feverishly argued against, Corey Heim’s 2025 is it. Heim, driver of the No.11 Toyota, has been on another planet compared to the rest of the Truck Series, matching his number with 11 race wins, and leading an astounding 40% (1525) of all the laps he’s turned (3781) throughout the season! In fact, Corey’s 11 wins are one more than the rest of the full-time Truck Series field combined and 10 more than his three Championship Race competitors.

All that said, his three competitors are not to be counted out. Especially not Ty Majeski, the defending series winner, a known short flat-track maven, and driver for Thor Sport, which has claimed three of the last four Truck Series titles. Heim’s fellow Toyota driver, Kaden Honeycutt, meanwhile, is coming off a career-best finish of 2nd at Martinsville to reach Phoenix, a track he finished 7th at last season while with Neice Motorsports. And lastly, Tyler Ankrum, who had the fifth most Top 5 finishes (8), won at Rockingham and is essentially racing with house money as the longest shot to win.

2025 Truck Series Championship Odds

Corey Heim -200 Ty Majeski +230 Kaden Honeycutt +700 Tyler Ankrum +1000

Xfinity Series Championship Odds

*Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Like the Truck Series, NASCAR’s “AAA” level, the Xfinity Series, saw one driver stand out above the rest of the field as well. This is none other than Connor Zilisch, the proud owner of 10 win stickers for the 2025 season, and a ridiculous 19 top 5s in the 31 races he’s ran. However, unlike Heim, who doesn’t have to race the perceived biggest threat to his title hopes, Zilisch is tasked with besting his teammate and defending Xfinity Series Champion Justin Allgaier. Justin enters the Xfinity Championship Race with just 13 fewer laps led, the 2nd most Top 5 results, and 3 wins, which could have been a larger total had a few races transpired differently.

Joining these two top dogs are JRM teammate Carson Kvapil and fellow Chevrolet driver Jesse Love. The former, Kvapil, is still winless and has just seven top 5s to his name, while the latter, Love, does have a victory this year, but finished with just eight top 5 results. Adding fuel to the fire towards torching the current playoffs format, if Carson Kvapil finishes ahead of Zilisch, regardless of Championship implications, he’d win rookie of the year, over Xfinity’s most successful driver. The pitchforks will be out if this happens.

2025 Xfinity Series Championship Odds

Connor Zilisch +110 Justin Allgaier +160 Jesse Love +600 Carson Kvapil +600

Cup Series Championship Odds

Now for the main event of the Cup Series Championship, which has no negative drama surrounding any of the four participants. Leading the charge into Phoenix is the elder statesman of the group, and Las Vegas winner, Denny Hamlin. Hamlin leads the Cup Series in wins this year (6) and has that coveted two-week head start on the rest of the Championship 4 after winning the opening race in the Round of 8. This, along with his runner-up finish in the spring and apparent narrative shift, has resulted in Denny being the favorite for this season’s title.

Not to be forgotten about or slept on is the 2025 regular season champion, William Byron, who is making his third consecutive Championship 4 appearance and won at Phoenix in the spring of 2023. Like last season, Willy B’s title hopes came down to his performance at The Paperclip, but unlike 2024, pointing his way in wasn’t an option. Byron’s path to another title shot was clear, and he took it by dominating and beating the previous king of Martinsville, Ryan Blaney, for the win. I asked William about his last two Championship Race appearances:

The driver sitting third on the odds board, and who many in, around, and outside NASCAR consider the best, is Kyle Larson. The optimism begins with being the only previous champion here in Phoenix (2021), along with a team strength that’s hard to match. However, Larson has been fairly quiet this postseason. He’s the lone Championship 4 driver that didn’t win in the round of 8, and would join Kyle Busch (2015 & 2019) as just the third champ without a playoff race win before the Championship in this format (circa 2015). Larson’s winless streak also extends well beyond the playoffs, with the 5 team last finding victory lane in May at Kansas. There is some cause for concern.

Finally, the most surprising, but also not, Champ 4 driver Chase Briscoe. He hits Phoenix as Cup’s top qualifier (7 poles!); Has a series best 15 Top 5s with 3 wins; And the 2nd best average finish, first among Champ 4 drivers, on the year. He’s also a previous winner here at Phoenix. Briscoe hasn’t been “elite” per se, on this track type this year, and he did DNF last week at Martinsville, so did teammate Denny Hamlin, but the speed is legit, and winning at Talladega gave him an extra week of preparation. Briscoe isn’t too shocked by being here, having seen the blueprint for success, and his confidence is high:

All four of this season’s Championship 4 drivers are not only deserving of their spot, but they earned it through consistent performance and by winning when it mattered most. The Cup Series Championship odds predict a historic result for a future Hall of Famer, but it would shock nobody if any of the four participants are crowned 2025’s champion.

2025 Cup Series Championship Odds

Denny Hamlin +210 William Byron +215 Kyle Larson +285 Chase Briscoe +390

Upgrade Your NASCAR Betting Game Plan

Tired of betting on gut feelings? It’s time to level up your sports betting from guesswork to a disciplined, analytical strategy. Adopting a professional mindset is the key to making more consistent wagers and enjoying the process more over the long haul. A solid betting foundation rests on three critical, non-negotiable principles.

Master Bankroll Management: This is your foundation. Always stick to a set budget to protect your capital and ensure you can survive inevitable losing streaks. Never chase losses with money you can’t afford to lose—your budget is your shield against disaster. Think of it like a pit crew managing the fuel—you need to know exactly how much you have and use it wisely to finish the race. Make Data-Driven Decisions: The sharpest bettors analyze. Replace pure intuition with reliable data, examining driver and team statistics, track history, and practice/qualifying results to find value the public misses. Consistent success comes from finding an edge, not guessing. Look for the small mechanical advantages, like finding the right tire compound, that can make all the difference. Build Mental Toughness: Betting is a high-emotion game, making a strong mindset vital. Don’t let your feelings dictate your wagers; mental toughness helps you avoid impulsive bets (tilt) after a loss or overconfidence after a big win. Have a clear, unwavering plan, just like a crew chief calling the race.

Always remember to Bet Responsibly. Betting should add excitement to the game, not cause financial strain. Be aware of the risks and know that resources are available if you need help.

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