Chelsea are ranked as the favourites by the Opta supercomputer for their Premier League trip to Nottingham Forest on Saturday. Look ahead to the game at the City Ground with our match prediction and preview.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer ranks Chelsea as the favourites with a 48.1% win probability to Nottingham Forest’s 27.8%. Forest manager Ange Postecoglou lost all four of his Premier League games against Chelsea as Tottenham boss. No team’s fixtures have produced more goals in the Premier League this season than Chelsea’s.Ange Postecoglou will need to overcome a dismal record against Chelsea if he is to ease the growing pressure he is facing at Nottingham Forest.
Forest welcome Chelsea to the City Ground on Saturday amid a backdrop of reports that Postecoglou – who has failed to win any of his seven games in charge – is facing increasing scrutiny and ex-Forest player Sean Dyche could be drafted in to replace him in the dugout.
Unfortunately for the Australian, recent history is not on his side. Postecoglou lost all four of his Premier League meetings with Chelsea during his two-year spell as Tottenham manager. He would join a list of managers including Rafael Benítez, Mick McCarthy, Tony Pulis, and Owen Coyle to lose their first five against the Blues in the competition.
Worryingly for Forest, they are starting to endure a little homesickness. Five of their previous seven home Premier games have ended in defeat (W1, D1), as many as they suffered in the 22 previous matches at the City Ground beforehand (W11, D6). Defeat here would represent a third home loss on the spin for the first time since a run of four in December 2023.
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1 week ago Matt FurnissGoals are fast becoming an issue for them, who have been beaten in four of their past five Premier League encounters (D1) and have not managed to score in each of those defeats. Forest could fail to score in three consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since April 1999.
Forest may take some solace in the fact that Chelsea’s recent away form has been quite patchy. Enzo Maresca’s men have managed to win just three of their past 14 fixtures on their travels in the Premier League (D4, L7). Indeed, in 2025, only 27% of their points have come away from home (12/45), which represents the lowest ratio of any ever-present side (across both last season and this) in the top flight.
Chelsea fixtures tend to involve goals, though, and no team’s Premier League games this season have seen more goals than theirs (22 – 13 for, nine against). Of those, 13 have come in their away games (eight for, five against), with only Burnley’s away matches yielding more (17).
Of the eight goals Chelsea have celebrated away from home, four of them have been scored from corners. This represents as many goals from corners as they managed away from home in the whole of the 2024-25 Premier League season.
Moisés Caicedo has been influential for Chelsea, and the Ecuador midfielder has made more tackles (28) and more interceptions (18) than any player in the top flight this term. Meanwhile, Forest ace Elliot Anderson has won possession 55 times, which is also a league-high tally.
Chelsea’s mounting defensive issues should be eased this weekend, with Trevoh Chalobah back from suspension, and Wesley Fofana, Tosin Adarabioyo, and Benoît Badiashile all potentially in contention. However, Cole Palmer is not expected to feature, while Enzo Fernández withdrew from international duty with Argentina. Reece James could play despite missing England’s latest camp, while Caicedo should be involved, having opted to skip Ecuador’s fixtures.
Forest, meanwhile, will hope to welcome back Oleksandr Zinchenko and Douglas Luiz for the visit of the Blues.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Head-to-Head
Forest have managed just one victory in their past eight top-flight encounters with Chelsea, drawing three and losing four.
Their sole win in that stretch was a 1-0 triumph over the Blues at Stamford Bridge in September 2023.
Chelsea, meanwhile, have racked up three wins in their past four Premier League away games at Forest (D1), including both of their last two.
The Blues have never before managed to win three successive away league games against Forest.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction
Chelsea are seen as the favourites to win Saturday’s contest, with the Opta supercomputer rating their chances of victory at 48.1% from the 10,000 simulations conducted.
Forest, conversely, have a 27.8% win probability, with the draw viewed as a 24.1% chance.
In the overall season predictions, Chelsea are currently most likely to finish fourth (12.4%), with their title chances now rated as just 2.6%.
Forest are struggling at the wrong end of the table. As things stand, they are most likely to finish exactly where they are now in 17th (12.05%), but 18th and relegation is only a little lower at 12.01%.
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
Nottingham Forest: Mats Selz, Neco Williams, Nikola Milenkovic, Murillo, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Ibrahim Sangaré, Elliot Anderson, Dan Ndoye, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Morgan Gibbs-White, Chris Wood.
Head Coach: Ange Postecoglou
Chelsea: Robert Sánchez, Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoît Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Roméo Lavia, Moisés Caicedo, Estêvão, Enzo Fernández, Pedro Neto, João Pedro.
Head coach: Enzo Maresca
Opta Power Rankings
The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 10,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.
Ahead of kick-off this weekend at the City Ground, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.
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Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea Prediction: Is This the End of the Road for Ange Postecoglou? Opta Analyst.
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