AUDUSD technicals: AUDUSD consolidates around MA levels ...Middle East

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Market expectations are firmly in place for this move — a Reuters poll showed unanimous agreement for a cut, with most economists also expecting one more reduction before year-end. Softer inflation and labor market data are helping pave the way. CPI has eased toward the lower bound of the RBA’s 2–3% target, with Q2 headline inflation falling to 2.1% y/y, its lowest since March 2021 and below the 2.2% forecast. June jobs growth added just 2,000 jobs versus expectations of around 20,000, marking the weakest gain since October 2024, while unemployment ticked up to 4.3% from 4.1%.

On the downside, a break below the 0.6489 midpoint would expose a swing area near 0.64519, the 100-day MA at 0.64375, and the 200-day MA at 0.6389. Given weaker domestic data and the anticipated rate cut, the fundamental backdrop leans bearish for AUDUSD — but with U.S. rate expectations also shifting lower, the impact may be muted. In this type of sideways, range-bound environment, using the moving averages as bias-defining barometers may be the cleaner play for traders.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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