ForexLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Round trip for yen and risk ...Middle East

Republican Senator says Trump is 'dug in' on tariffs, 'like a tick'Japan finance minister Kato says FX developments can affect people's livesBank of Finland Governor and ECB monetary policy maker Olli Rehn speaking TuesdayCiti downgrades US equites and upgrades China equitiesPBOC sets USD/ CNY central rate at 7.1741 (vs. estimate at 7.2597)Yen up, US equity indexes down - chicken, egg, dog, tail ... bad session for risk againJapan’s Finance Minister Kato flags impact of rising rates, pledges stable bond issuanceJapan Economy Minister Akazawa says FX should move stably, reflecting fundamentalsAustralian February business confidence to -1 (prior +5)UK Consumer Spending Slows in February Despite Record Household ConfidenceJapan Trade Minister Muto received no assurance Japan would be exempt from US tariffsJapan (final) Q4 2024 GDP +0.6% q/q (preliminary was +0.7%)Japan data - January Household Spending +0.8% y/y (vs. expected +3.6%)Australian data - Westpac Consumer Confidence (March) +4% (prior +0.1%)Bank of Canada’s rate decision on Wednesday is shaping up to be a tight callUK Treasury said there is "no plan" to introduce US-style Bitcoin reservesAustralian weekly consumer confidence survey slumps again, to 86.9 (prior 87.7)Italy set to propose a European guarantee scheme aimed at unlocking up to €200 billionNew Zealand data - Manufacturing sales volumes +1.1% q/qDelta Airlines cites softening domestic demand for flights, cuts outlookUS politics - Trump making to calls to try to avert government shutdownUBS has cut its target price on Tesla (TSLA). To $225. This still seems very high?Economic calendar in Asia Tuesday, March 11, 2025 - Japan Q4 2024 GDPTrade ideas thread - Tuesday, 11 March, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideasVolatility index, VIX, continue to surge higher. Hits its highest since August 5 last yearStocks tumble but does bounce modestly into the closeForexlive Americas FX news wrap: Bloodbath in risk assets

The yen initially continued to strengthen during the session, with USD/JPY dropping to lows just under 146.60. The US 2 year yield hit its lowest since October last year, while on the yen side JGB yields held firm.

From Japan we had plenty of data and comments:

January household spending came in at +0.8% y/y, a bit, big miss on estimates of +3.6%Q4 GDP was revised a little lower to +2.2%, from the preliminary blockbuster +2.8% Japan Economy Minister Akazawa says FX should move stably, reflecting fundamentalsJapan’s Finance Minister Kato said FX developments impact people’s lives

The upshot of all this is that after its early fall USD/JPY retraced back to briefly touch above 147.20. As I post its back straddling 147.00.

The US recession narrative took further hold, sending US equity indexes down once trade reopened on Globex. Like USD/JPY, we have had some recovery retrace.

EUR/USD had small gyrations only, net higher on the session. Italy is proposing a European guarantee scheme aimed at unlocking up to €200 billion. More fiscal stimulus.

AUD, CAD, NZD were all a littler more active, dipping early before also retracing.

From Australia today we had business confidence falling back back into negative territory in February. The survey also contains a measure of business conditions, which tends to be a more objective than the sentiment driven confidence measure. Conditions improved slightly higher.

While analyst notes from banks come and go, the one from Citi (via a Bloomberg report) today drew some attention. The bank downgraded US equities to neutral, while boosting Chinese equities to overweight. On the day the news of the note pretty much bottom-ticked US equity indices.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.

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