Following a slightly unconvincing 3-1 victory on Friday, England will look to seal their place in Round 2 of the qualification play-offs for the 2027 Women’s World Cup. We preview the second leg with our England vs Greece prediction and preview.
England vs Greece: The Key Stats
The Opta supercomputer makes England heavy favourites, with the Lionesses winning the second leg in a whopping 95.7% of the model’s 10,000 simulations. The Lionesses have won each of their last six home matches without conceding across all competitions (19-0 on aggregate) and could win seven in a row to nil on home turf for the first time in their history. Greece have won their last two away matches. They have, however, conceded in 11 consecutive away games.England take a two-goal advantage into Tuesday’s second leg against Greece after a 3-1 victory in Crete put them firmly in control of their FIFA Women’s World Cup 2027 play-off tie.
The Lionesses extended their unbeaten run against first-time European opposition in competitive matches to 16 games (W14 D2) with Friday’s win. Yet, against a side sitting 54 places below them in the FIFA rankings, it was far from the straightforward evening many had anticipated.
Greece arrived in the tie full of confidence after topping Group C4, winning three and drawing one of their four qualifying matches. Although they ultimately fell to their first defeat of the campaign, they demonstrated exactly why England had been warned against complacency.
For Sarina Wiegman’s side, however, the result continued an impressive record in World Cup qualifying. England have now won 20 of their last 21 such matches (L1), scoring 110 goals and conceding just three times across those 20 victories.
Should England complete the job at the King Power Stadium, they will progress to a Round 2 play-off against either Slovakia or Ukraine. The latter hold a commanding 3-1 advantage after the first leg of their tie.
Against Greece on Friday, England’s breakthrough came from Keira Walsh remains central to England’s success.
The Lionesses have won 40 of the 60 matches the pair have started together (D9 L11), while Walsh could make yet more history after starting each of England’s last 24 matches in all competitions. This century, only Rachel Unitt (35), Steph Houghton (26) and Alex Scott (25) have enjoyed longer consecutive starting streaks.
Interestingly, Lucy Bronze’s absence means she has now missed back-to-back competitive England fixtures for the first time since Wiegman’s opening six matches in charge between September and November 2021.
History suggests England should have little trouble seeing the tie through on home soil.
The Lionesses have won each of their last seven home matches against fellow UEFA nations by an aggregate score of 19-0 and have lost just one of their last 48 competitive home fixtures (W41 D6), a 2-1 defeat to France in May 2024.
Wiegman’s side are also unbeaten across 26 home qualifiers (W24 D2), scoring 120 goals while remarkably keeping a clean sheet in every one of those matches.
The first leg brought some individual milestones.
Erica Meg Parkinson (18 years, 174 days) came off the bench to become England’s youngest debutant since Lianne Sanderson in 2006, while Manchester United captain
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