Maga is turning on Trump – here’s what happens next ...Middle East

The once-unbreakable bond Donald Trump’s Maga movement shared with the man himself is now fraying at the seams, with the Iran war the latest issue causing some once-loyal supporters to break cover and criticise the president.

Vaccine-doubting podcaster Joe Rogan – who interviewed Trump for three hours on his show in the lead-up to the 2024 election – has called the war “so insane.” Right-wing media figure Megyn Kelly recently retweeted someone who said the Iran war is “not worth losing the midterm (elections) over. Wrap it up and move on.”

Why doesn’t Maga like the Iran war?

It’s not just the Iran war, many of the top figures in the movement don’t like any foreign wars. Many Maga members cheered in February 2025, when Trump and Vice President JD Vance bullied Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky in the Oval Office.

But it’s the Iran war that’s really got them going. One influencer who proudly put a drawing of herself in a red hat on her X profile said, “I dont [sic] remember voting to ‘Free Iran’. I voted to Make America Great Again.”

Even Tucker Carlson, arguably the premier voice in the crowded space of pro-Trump media, wants the United States to keep its nose out of the affairs of other countries.

Back in March, following a joint US-Israeli attack on Iran, Carlson, a former Fox News host, put a video on YouTube saying, “This is Israel’s war. This is not the United States’ war.”

While running to return to the presidency in 2024, Trump had told followers that there would no new wars if he replaced Joe Biden in the White House.

And on election night, while accepting victory, Trump told supporters, “I’m not going to start a war. I’m going to stop wars.”

Dr John Hart, former head of the department of political science at the Australian National University and a specialist on American government, says some in Maga are starting to suspect that he may have lost his Maga focus.

“The amount of attention that Trump has to give to international matters distracts from his commitment to make America great again and he’s now beginning to see the effects of that on his level of support amongst grass-roots Republicans,” Hart said.

Why has this led to his level of support among young Republicans to plunge?

Traditionally in America, young voters are the ones who are most enthusiastic to vote, and Trump will have one eye on the midterm elections, due in November.

This week, American news website Politico ran a story about the Iran war causing a crack in the voting intentions of the youngest Maga members.

A Politico/Public First poll conducted between April 11-14 found that while 59 percent of Trump voters over 55 said they strongly supported US military action in the Middle East, just 28 percent of Trump voters ages 18 to 34 said the same.

Speaking to Politico, university student Connor Darby pointed out Trump’s comments about pre-war strikes having destroyed Iran’s nuclear capabilities.

“I thought that was accomplished … we don’t want to be back in the Middle East again fighting another forever war. The goal is America first,” he said.

How will the Maga split impact the midterm elections?

Hart says he expects that Republicans will suffer at the ballot box in November – to a point, at least.

“(The Maga split) will damage Republican election prospects in the House and possibly even in the Senate,” he says.

“Many pundits expect the Republicans to lose control of the House. The Senate is more uncertain.

“But, the mid-term elections are complicated by the current efforts to gerrymander House seats by mid-decade redistricting and, at the moment, it’s not possible to anticipate the precise effects of the gerrymandering because much of it is still in progress.”

Earlier this month, the New York Times reported that Republicans had come out on top in several legal fights related to gerrymandering, which is the process of redrawing congressional districts every five years instead of ten.

And with the presidency on the line two years later in 2028 – and Trump unable to run again – many young Republicans are voicing disquiet at the two men seen as leading the race to be the party’s nominee.

Many view Vance, the vice president, and Marco Rubio, the secretary of state, as figures of the party establishment they view as having the wrong priorities.

“Personally, I would say I trust Tucker Carlson’s approach – and everyone I’ve talked to, at least my age – is more anti-war, more on Carlson’s side than Trump’s side,” college student Oliver Genovese told Politico.

“If we wanted the same young turnout (as in 2024), I think Tucker Carlson would be a good option,” he said. “I don’t see a lot of young excitement particularly of JD Vance being the nominee.”

What about Marjorie Taylor-Greene?

Trump’s harshest critic on the right – eventually, anyway – is former congresswoman Marjorie Taylor-Greene.

Once a staunch ally of the president who defended him without wavering from attacks on social media and elsewhere, Greene and Trump had a bitter falling out after he returned to office and changed his tune about releasing the so-called Epstein files.

If you send in U.S. military troops into Iran, there is going to be a political revolution in America. WE. ARE. DONE. We said no more foreign wars and we meant it. The coalition will unite and be unstoppable. I’ll make sure of it.End this war. It’s stupid.

Seemingly bowing to pressure, Trump signed a bill for the files to be released, although not all have been.

Trump has released a barrage of insults aimed at her, calling her “Wacky Marjorie” and “Marjorie Traitor Greene”.

On X this week, she issued her strongest condemnation yet of the war in Iran, saying that there will be a “political revolution” if Trump commits US troops on the ground.

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