This is why Trump’s political insanity will be his downfall ...Middle East

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This is why Trump’s political insanity will be his downfall

As the United States prepares to mark the 250th anniversary of ridding itself of a mad monarch, King George III, one could easily be forgiven for thinking that the American republic is being presided over by a mad President, Donald J. Trump. His rants against Pope Leo XIV. His “Jesus of Mar-a-Lago” meme which he posted on social media, portraying himself as a Christ-like figure. His explanation afterwards, following an outcry from Republican evangelicals, was almost as bizarre as the AI-generated illustration. “I thought it was me as a doctor,” he claimed, which immediately brought to mind a portion of scripture from the gospel according to Luke: “Physician heal thyself.”

Trump is so unpredictable and impulsive that one half expects him to announce a naval blockade of the Holy See, with US gunboats steaming up the Tiber and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth personally storming St. Peter’s Square. We should not laugh, truly, because this is so very serious. Somewhere about his person, the US Commander-in-Chief carries the nuclear codes which could lead to Armageddon, and there are times when he resembles a character from Stanley Kubrick’s Dr Strangelove.

    Crucially, these incidents – as well as recent policy decisions – are politically insane for Trump. His election-winning coalition, which was made up of working-class whites, Protestant evangelicals, Catholics who celebrated the overturning of the abortion ruling Roe v. Wade, suburban swing voters, manosphere-dwelling bros and a surprisingly high number of Latino and Black people, is splintering. Understandably, there’s anger over higher fuel and food prices, driven up by the Iran war. There’s a Maga mystification over why a US President who promised to end wars has started such a large-scale conflict in the Middle East.

    Podcast bro Joe Rogan, who has been called America’s most important swing voter, has turned against the President. So, too, has the one-time Maga provocateur Tucker Carlson. Trump’s support among white voters without college degrees – the archetypal Maga voter – has collapsed. A new CBS News/YouGov poll, which suggested +36 per cent support from this demographic at the start of his second term, showed it was now in negative territory at -4 per cent. In February, Trump’s approval rating among Latinos was just 22 per cent.

    American Catholics, traditionally a Democratic constituency which became more Republican throughout the decades-long fight over abortion rights, make up a fifth of the electorate. Attacking an American Holy Father does not make political sense.

    Currently, his approval rating has sunk even lower than Richard Nixon’s in the final days of his disgraced presidency, when, on the eve of his resignation, “Tricky Dicky” stalked the corridors of the White House like King Lear. “The Trump coalition that got him elected is completely fractured and in smithereens,” according to right-wing host Megyn Kelly.

    With the mid-term elections looming in November, King Donald seems to be generating a mighty blue wave. The Democrats could surf it to regain the House of Representatives, which has long been widely predicted, but also the Senate, which seemed politically impossible at the start of the year.

    Abnormality has become a defining feature of his two-term presidency, and many of Trump’s supporters voted for unorthodoxy. They wanted an anti-president prepared to blow up Washington. But this populist President was not supposed to mount deeply unpopular wars.

    Trump has attacked critics such as Kelly and Carlson, calling them “NUT JOBS” and “TROUBLEMAKERS”. But it is the President’s state of mind which has concerned many supporters. “Open the F**kin’ Strait, you crazy b**tards, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH!”, he warned the Tehran regime on his Truth Social account ahead of the two-week ceasefire. Last week, speaking of Iran and its 90 million people, he threatened that “a whole civilisation will die tonight, never to be brought back again.”

    Mad man or madman theory, the negotiating technique pioneered by Nixon during the Vietnam War, to make his adversaries fear that he had completely lost the plot? That question is hard to answer with certainty, but when Trump made proclamations about Iran on Easter Sunday from the balcony of the White House, with the Easter Bunny standing alongside, he hardly looked like a “very stable genius,” the phrase he used to describe himself during Trump 1.0. Candace Owens, a star of the Maga media ecosystem, complained on X: “He is a genocidal lunatic. Our Congress and military need to intervene. We are beyond madness.”

    Since being sworn in for his second term in January last year, Trump’s behaviour has become progressively stranger. That day, he called for the Gulf of Mexico to be renamed the Gulf of America and vowed to “take back” the Panama Canal, both of which seem comparatively tame given what has unfolded since.

    The next month, he called for a US takeover of the Gaza Strip, which he predicted could become a “Riviera of the Middle East”. Then came the “Trump Gaza” AI video, the mother of all gobsmackers. It portrayed him lounging by the pool at a Dubai-style resort, laughing as he sipped cocktails with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

    Already by then, Trump had started referring to Canada as America’s 51st state, a territorial claim which helped his newfound nemesis, Mark Carney, become prime minister in last year’s election. Then Greenland became his fixation. Alert to its strategic value to the United States, predecessors such as Harry S. Truman had set their sights on what Trump recently described as a “poorly run, piece of ice”. But they did not threaten military invasion or bully Nato allies into submission. In January this year, Trump sent a letter to Norway’s Prime Minister, Jonas Gahr Støre, demanding “complete and total control of Greenland”.

    Yet that letter will be remembered for its opening line, with its odd capitalisations, dodgy grammar and madcap tone. “Dear Jonas, Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace.” Historians, I suspect, will come to regard it as a pivotal text of Trump’s second term. His fulminations about missing out on the Nobel Peace Prize provided the clearest signal yet that the 47th President had become unhinged.

    Over the past six months, especially, there have been mounting signs of Trump’s narcissism and vanity. Last October, just hours after a mass shooting at a Mormon church in Michigan, which killed four people, Trump posted a video of the “quality 24 Karat Gold” now on display in the Oval Office, boasting: “Foreign Leaders, and everyone else, ‘freak out’ when they see the quality and beauty. Best Oval Office ever, in terms of success and look!!!”

    In December, in another display of megalomania, he renamed the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts, a memorial to the slain President, the Trump-Kennedy Center. And his outburst against Pope Leo is not the first time; remember, he has offended American catholics. Following the death of Pope Francis, Trump, presumably in jest, said he would like the job. Then he posted another AI-generated image, this time portraying him as the Pontiff, wearing a gold-trimmed white cassock and pointed mitre. The Bishop of Mar-a-Lago.

    Calls to invoke the 25th Amendment, which allows for the removal of a President on grounds of disability or incapacity, will not be acted on. Trump’s sycophantic Cabinet and Republican congressional leaders remain loyal. But I will leave you with the words of the one-time Maga cheerleader, Marjorie Taylor Greene. Trump’s threats against Iran, she said, were “insanity” and “absolute madness”. The President’s politics no longer make sense to his base.

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