Tricky business, appointing a Premier League manager.
Ruben Amorim’s sacking makes it 17 top flight managerial changes since the start of the 2024-5 season. Only two, Everton replacing Sean Dyche with David Moyes and Brentford promoting Keith Andrews from within, can be counted even as qualified successes.
The others? Ange Postecoglou lasted a few weeks at Nottingham Forest while his replacement at Tottenham, Thomas Frank, appears to be on borrowed time. Ditto Nuno Espirito Santo at West Ham, who replaced the disastrous Graham Potter.
Amorim’s already gone, with £10m of compensation tucked in the top pocket of his £900 Paul Smith coat. Vitor Pereira saved Wolves from relegation before leaving them doomed to demotion a few months later. The less said about Ruud van Nistelrooy at Leicester the better.
The point here is that there is no guarantee that Manchester United, Chelsea, Spurs or any of the other clubs considering a change are going to get better if they prod the big red button. Recent history suggests that, with a new man needing new players to implement untested new ideas, you might actually get worse.
So don’t take it for granted when you have something that works. A good fit might not give you the sugar rush of chasing after coaching’s next big thing, but it is alchemy in its own right.
It’s a narrative Newcastle United have to heed, however this strange, transitional season plays out. Sitting ninth ahead of a crop of winnable home games, the campaign might look very different by the end of the month. If those wins elude them, the season will continue to feel like a giant leap into the unknown.
Newcastle’s season is still salvageable (Photo: Reuters)Whichever of those paths they go down, their faith in Eddie Howe will not waver. And for Newcastle fans, that has to be a good thing.
Exhibit A is Tuesday’s robust reaffirmation of his commitment to the club amid links to Manchester United.
“Would anything tempt me away?” he asked. “No, not at this current time. I’m really happy at the moment and hopefully that stays for a long time.”
After the kamikaze press conferences carried out by Amorim and Enzo Maresca recently, it felt like a waft of common sense. His relationship with director of football Ross Wilson is good but, like Amorim, he’s been told there’s little chance of significant January reinforcements. Any that are coming are likely to be project players, leaning into the French market.
Newcastle’s January targets
Top target Dayann Methalie, the 19-year-old Toulouse defender, is a fine prospect but it’s an indication the club are moving in a different direction, recruitment-wise. Howe, whose preference is for players with extensive experience in a top- five league, appears to have clambered on board with that.
Will that satisfy some of the sceptics? Probably not. But those demanding change in the aftermath of a sub-par performance never quite get to the “what-comes-next” bit. Does day one of the post-Howe era see Andoni Iraola slot seamlessly in at St James’ Park? He’s a formidable coaching talent but his CV is inferior to Howe’s in every way.
Or is it Oliver Glasner, with his preference for a back three?
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Perhaps there’s an elite option keen to take over. But Newcastle found out in the summer they are in that strange bit of the journey where they’ve not quite scaled the mountain to regular Champions League qualification. Does a Zinedine Zidane or Carlo Ancelotti really fit the project?
The prospect of an elongated managerial search, given what we know about PIF’s “processes”, does not hold much appeal.
Granted, this season feels knotty and frustrating. We’re watching Howe try to evolve the team and their tactical fluidity in real time and errors are being made. Make no mistake, conversations behind the scenes have got heated at times. There is no complacency about where they are. Questions are being asked.
But that is sometimes the reality of getting better. Newcastle have an excellent man-manager who gets the club, has a track record of success and is working in a structure that needs tweaks but is getting there. It’s not perfect but it certainly beats the chaos of Stamford Bridge or Old Trafford. Don’t take it for granted.
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