As we await some more signings to go down, and specifically await a couple key postings from Japan to resolve, I got to thinking about Chicago Cubs starting pitching prospect Jaxon Wiggins. If all goes well for him in the first half of 2026, there’s a very good chance he could impact the big league team in the second half, much like Cade Horton did in 2025 (I’ll be realistic and not dream on THAT much impact, but still – doesn’t even have to be that much to be significant!). And that’s all regardless of what the Cubs do or don’t do this offseason. Given Wiggins’ talent, there will be a spot for him when the time is right, no matter who else is on the roster.
When we talk about the state of pitching in the Cubs’ farm system – something the Cubs are pretty clearly trying to address with some institutional changes – you generally have to offer at least one significant carveout before painting with a broad brush. There are issues, unquestionably, but there is at least one guy in the system with front-two starter potential, and that’s a very rare thing. I just don’t want to lose sight of how good Jaxon Wiggins COULD be.
It isn’t just about the incredible 2025 season he had rocketing up from High-A to Double-A to Triple-A. Although, you know, he really was incredible when you consider that 2024 was his pro debut (in a return from Tommy John surgery), and he did this in 2025:
Jaxon Wiggins system ranks (min 50 IP, 40 pitchers meet criteria)1st in K% (31%)1st in WHIP (1.03)1st in OBP (.262)1st in OPS (.496)2nd in SwStr% (16.3%)2nd in AVG (.161)2nd in SLG (.234)3rd in CSW (30.5%)4th in ERA (2.19)4th in K%-BB% (19.5%)4th in lowest LD% (18%)
— Greg Huss (@outofthevines.bsky.social) 2025-12-02T00:41:09.365ZYo. But again, it’s not just about that. It’s about the projectability – physically, and with individual pitches – which is at least as important as the minor league results when looking down the road at a pitcher’s possible success in the big leagues. For me, with Wiggins, it all starts with his four-seamer. You can succeed in the big leagues without a premium fastball, but it is as difficult as it is rare. And Wiggins has an elite four-seam fastball that only got better (and more well-commanded) this season.
"If they can get him to click like they have Cade Horton, the sky's the limit."@LanceBroz does a deep dive on Cubs pitching prospect Jaxon Wiggins ? pic.twitter.com/ctG2eudzs3
— Marquee Sports Network (@WatchMarquee) December 17, 2025There is nothing guaranteeing that Wiggins, 24, will carry forward his 2025 development into 2026 and get even better. These things aren’t linear, and we’ve seen ultra-promising prospects take steps back.
But I feel like the national prospecting world is still really sleeping on Wiggins’ potential for reasons that elude me (is because he wasn’t a first round pick? didn’t have a ton of college success? because they’re late on seeing the jump in stuff post-surgery recovery?). This is a physical monster of an athlete with an elite 97-99mph four-seamer, a plus slider, an increasingly plus changeup. Very few pitching prospects have that mix on the doorstep of the big leagues, Cubs or otherwise.
The knock is that the command is still not great, which could become a problem against big league hitters (the walks could go up and the chase could go down). So yes, I suppose there’s still a pretty big development step there (specifically, maintaining the nasty stuff while ticking up the command – arguably the most difficult hurdle for front-line starting pitching prospects).
Look for Wiggins to open the 2026 season back at Triple-A Iowa, where he made just three appearances late in 2025. Just as was the case with Cade Horton, you’ll probably be able to discern quite a bit about whether the Cubs see Wiggins as a realistic big league call-up in June or July based on his start cadence and length to open up the year at Iowa. Horton, for what it’s worth, started about once a week in April and at the beginning of May, throwing only four or five innings until his final two starts at Iowa, when he was permitted to go six innings. Even at the time, it sure felt like something was being very carefully planned. We’ll see if that repeats for Wiggins in 2026.
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