Can England beat the All Blacks at Twickenham and record 10 consecutive wins for the first time in nearly a decade? Our England vs New Zealand prediction and preview breaks down everything you need to know ahead of another heavyweight clash.
Recent meetings between these two have mostly ended one way: England have won just one of their last 11 clashes with New Zealand (D1 L9).
Yet only two of those defeats have been by more than a converted try. The margins have been consistently tight, and this weekend promises another finely balanced encounter.
Despite their poor recent record in this contest, England have every reason for optimism. Their current nine-game winning streak is their longest since the 2015-2017 run of 18 straight victories, and a first win against the All Blacks at Twickenham since 2012 may be on the cards.
England have been relatively comfortable for most of that nine-game stretch. While their first two wins only came by a single point, the subsequent seven have come by an average margin of 25 points.
New Zealand arrive in London on the back of a dramatic win at Murrayfield, one that saw Scotland erase a 17-0 half-time deficit before Damian McKenzie’s acrobatic finish and late penalty sealed the result.
The All Blacks left it late a week earlier in Chicago as well, only moving ahead of Ireland in the 63rd minute before pulling clear to win 26-13. Their quality in the final quarter remains undeniable.
As much as the All Blacks have excelled at winning late on recently, they’ve also been vulnerable when leading. Each of their last three defeats have come in games where they were level (once) or leading (twice) at half-time.
Whispers that this great side may be starting to fade will only fuel their motivation, though, and there are few sides more dangerous than a wounded All Blacks.
Where the Game Could Be Won
The mind games started well before the weekend, with England head coach Steve Borthwick stating he expects a lot of kicking from the All Blacks. His opposite number, Scott Robertson, insists his side “won’t be predictable”.
Despite Robertson’s suggestion England will need to be ready for more than just high balls, dealing with those will still be a big factor for whichever team emerges victorious here.
England kick more often in play than any other Tier 1 side, averaging 35.3 per match – over five more than any other nation – while only Scotland (22.6) have made fewer than New Zealand (24.9).
The All Blacks do tend to put boot to ball more frequently against England, though, outkicking them across their three meetings last year (101 to 93 in open play).
Away from the skies, the gainline contest will be crucial. England have evaded a greater share of tackles than any Tier 1 nation in 2025 (25%). However, only Japan (89%) boast a higher tackle success rate than the All Blacks (88%).
England are also the only side to have gained over four metres per carry this year (4.2), while New Zealand have committed 2+ tacklers from 57% of their carries in 2025, a rate only fractionally bettered by Australia (57.01%).
The battle for the gainline will be a fascinating one and whichever side is most effective at making the defence backtrack in the contact area will give themselves a great chance of winning.
One thing you must be to beat the All Blacks, though, is clinical, and it was England’s red-zone efficiency that let them down in their three clashes last year. They may have recorded more attacking 22 entries than New Zealand across those fixtures (23 vs 20), but they scored just 1.7 points per entry, well below the All Blacks’ 2.5-point average.
Players to Watch
Borthwick’s prophecy of a tense kicking battle has been reflected in his team selection, with George Ford and Freddie Steward returning to the starting XV after sitting out the win against Fiji last Saturday.
Ford’s kicking was crucial when England recorded their last win against the All Blacks back at the 2019 Rugby World Cup. Steward, meanwhile, scored in his only previous outing against the All Blacks at Twickenham, grabbing the penultimate try in England’s late comeback to claim a draw in 2022.
Steward has been in fine fettle for England of late too, scoring a try in two of his last three Tests and gaining 100+ metres in his two most recent matches.
Freddie Steward scored in his only appearance at Twickenham against the All Blacks, during the thrilling 25-25 draw in 2022.Given New Zealand’s late heroics so far this month, England’s bench will have an even more important role to play than usual, and it’s a stacked group of replacements boasting over 300 combined caps.
The least experienced player on the sidelines may be Henry Pollock, but he’s arguably the most impactful. It was his superb pickup and finish against Australia a fortnight ago that saw England start to move out of the Wallabies’ reach.
On the All Blacks side, most attacks tend to flow through Ardie Savea and Will Jordan, who have made the most carries of any forward and back respectively for a Tier 1 nation in 2025 (Savea – 135, Jordan – 109).
Savea also ranks first for defenders beaten among all players this year (37), while nobody has made more line breaks than Jordan (15, level with Max Jorgensen).
England vs New Zealand Prediction
The Opta supercomputer has this contest at effectively a dead heat. England are marginal favourites at 50.3%, New Zealand sit at 49.0%, and there is a 0.7% chance of another draw to accompany 2022’s classic. The model suggests just a single point will separate the teams at full-time.
England vs New Zealand Lineups
England XV: 15. Freddie Steward, 14. Tom Roebuck, 13. Ollie Lawrence, 12. Fraser Dingwall, 11. Immanuel Feyi-Waboso, 10. George Ford, 9. Alex Mitchell; 1. Fin Baxter, 2. Jamie George, 3. Joe Heyes, 4. Maro Itoje (c), 5. Alex Coles, 6. Guy Pepper, 7. Sam Underhill, 8. Ben Earl.
Replacements: 16. Luke Cowan-Dickie, 17. Ellis Genge, 18. Will Stuart, 19. Chandler Cunningham-South, 20. Tom Curry, 21. Henry Pollock, 22. Ben Spencer, 23. Marcus Smith.
New Zealand XV: 15. Will Jordan, 14. Leroy Carter, 13. Billy Proctor, 12. Quinn Tupaea, 11. Leicester Fainga’anuku, 10. Beauden Barrett, 9. Cam Roigard, 1. Ethan de Groot, 2. Codie Taylor, 3. Fletcher Newell, 4. Scott Barrett (C), 5. Fabian Holland, 6. Simon Parker, 7. Ardie Savea, 8. Peter Lakai
Replacements: 16. Samisoni Taukei’aho, 17. Tamaiti Williams, 18. Pasilio Tosi, 19. Josh Lord, 20. Wallace Sititi, 21. Cortez Ratima, 22. Anton Lienert-Brown, 23. Damian McKenzie.
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England vs New Zealand Prediction: Can England Extend Winning Run When All Blacks Visit? Opta Analyst.
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