The No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs are set for a pivotal late-season home matchup against the No. 10 Texas Longhorns under the lights in Sanford Stadium, a game that carries huge College Football Playoff implications for both teams.
These 2 squads met twice last season, once in the regular season and once in Atlanta for the SEC Championship, and the Dawgs took care of business both times, handing the Longhorns 2 of their 3 losses in 2024.
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Now, they’ll be looking to extend that winning streak to 3 in a row against SEC newcomer Texas, and ESPN Bill Connelly released his SP+ projections for the massive Week 12 tilt earlier this week.
WEEK 12 SP+ PICKSBama 25, OU 24 Georgia 27, Texas 23ND 32, Pitt 24Duke 30, UVA 28USC 29, Iowa 24Utah 35, Baylor 22Louisville 29, Clemson 23Rebs 35, Gators 17BYU 30, TCU 23Full list: t.co/1UvCJdO4pY pic.twitter.com/epuSVxWH8M
— Bill Connelly (@ESPN_BillC) November 9, 2025The SP+ is a predictive model that takes a number of different stats and historical trends and uses them to both craft power rankings for ESPN and project the outcome of any given game from week to week.
When it comes to this top-10 clash between the Dawgs and the Horns, Connelly’s model is projecting Georgia to come out on top once again, beating Arch Manning and Texas by a final score of 27-23.
If Georgia does actually pull out the win, then they will have officially wrapped up their in-conference slate with a final record of 7-1 against SEC opponents, while the Longhorns will have dropped their third game of the year, putting their CFP hopes on life support in the process.
Who’s winning this round between Texas and Georgia? Check out the prediction market Kalshi, and wager today!
ESPN’s SP+ projects the final score of Texas at Georgia Saturday Down South.
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