Eagles vs. Packers Prediction: Which NFC Contender Will Make a Big Statement on Monday Night Football? ...Middle East

Will the Green Bay Packers knock off the reigning kings of the NFL at home? Or will the Philadelphia Eagles continue their recent dominance?

Eagles vs. Packers: The Key Stats

Through Week 6, the Philadelphia Eagles appeared to be mired in a bit of a Super Bowl hangover.

Yes, the Eagles won their first four games, but they were all one-score victories. Philly’s offense, which ran through the league last year, finished September with the 30th-ranked offense at 265.8 yards per game. 

The team opened October with a pair of losses, punctuated by a 34-17 beatdown against the New York Giants in Week 6. 

With the passing game’s slow start, questions resurfaced about Jalen Hurts’ ability to play from behind, and A.J. Brown’s usage once again came under scrutiny. Some pundits even wondered if the Eagles should trade Brown. 

Hurts responded by posting a perfect 158.3 passer rating in Philadelphia’s Week 7 win over the Minnesota Vikings, throwing for 326 yards and three scores, two of which went to Brown. 

But what about the ground game?

The Eagles answered that question in Week 8, piling on 276 rushing yards in a revenge-game win over the Giants. Hurts added four more passing touchdowns, lifting Philly’s spirits sky-high as the team went into their bye last week. 

The good news continued as the Eagles addressed a pass rush that has 16 sacks in eight games by acquiring Jaelan Phillips, who ranks 12th among edge rushers with a 26.5% pressure rate. 

Lifted by recent performances, a trade-deadline addition and a restful bye week, the reigning Super Bowl champs will be out to show they’re still the team to beat when they visit the Green Bay Packers in the Week 10 finale.

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The vibes for the Packers, however, are not as good. 

Already a trendy preseason pick to come out of the NFC, the Packers’ expectations soared when they acquired three-time All-Pro Micah Parsons shortly before Week 1. Green Bay sits atop a highly competitive NFC North at 5-2-1, but it has put up a few dud performances after a hot start. 

While the defense has generally been much improved with the addition of Parsons, it surrendered 436 yards in the Packers’ 40-40 tie against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 4. 

The offense has no-showed twice – once in a 13-10 loss to the Cleveland Browns in Week 3, and again last week in a 16-13 home defeat to the Carolina Panthers. Making matters worse, the team announced this week that tight end and leading receiver Tucker Kraft will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL. 

Monday’s showdown may indicate whether or not Green Bay – still the youngest team in the league – is ready to be a serious contender. 

Will the Green Bay Packers knock off the reigning kings of the NFL at home? Or will the Philadelphia Eagles continue their recent dominance?

Eagles’ Key to Victory vs. Packers

Philadelphia’s offense isn’t the machine it was last season, but there is some evidence that it is on the rise. 

The Eagles rank 10th in the league at 26.0 points per game, but they’re 25th at 321.3 yards per game, and their 39.5% overall success rate is just a touch below the NFL average of 39.9%. 

The primary difference has been the production of Saquon Barkley, who had a 2024 campaign for the ages. He finished with 2,005 rushing yards, 13 rushing touchdowns, and likely would have broken the single-season rushing record if he had played in Week 18. 

While it was unrealistic to expect Barkley to put up those numbers again, his dip in production has been notable. 

Barkley had his best game of the season just before the bye, totaling 14 carries for 150 yards and a score in his first 100-yard game of the year. Even without his 65-yard touchdown run, he would have averaged over 6.5 yards per carry in that game. 

Philly fans are hoping that the explosion is a sign of better things to come, and a shift in personnel groupings could be an indication that both the rushing and passing games can thrive in the second half of the season. 

Through the first six weeks, the Eagles ran 65.8% of their plays from 11 personnel (one running back, one tight end and three wide receivers). During that stretch, they averaged just 3.1 yards per designed running play, and Barkley was averaging 3.4 yards per carry. 

In their last two games, however, Philadelphia dropped its rate of 11 personnel to 50%, opting to use more 12 personnel with an additional tight end and generating an offensive explosion. 

Over the entire season, the Eagles have a 38.4% overall success rate in 11 personnel and a 48.0% success rate in 12 personnel. The difference even spills into the passing game, with a higher success rate, explosive rate and average yards per pass in 12 personnel. 

The Eagles could continue their success in 12 personnel on Monday, especially because an additional tight end could help chip Parsons on pass plays to give Hurts more time. 

Packers’ Key to Victory vs. Eagles

The Packers are at a crossroads offensively after their loss to the Panthers and the injury to Kraft, but there is some reason to believe last week’s performance was a bit of an anomaly. 

Green Bay only had seven possessions, never punted and outgained Carolina by more than 100 yards. But the failures came in two always-vital areas: turnovers and the red zone. 

A lost fumble, an interception and a turnover on downs doomed the Packers, who entered the game with just three turnovers. 

Green Bay’s red-zone performance, however, needs improvement. Ending drives with touchdowns instead of field goals will be vital on Monday, especially given Philly’s offense converts an NFL-best 85% of its red-zone trips into touchdowns. 

Green Bay would benefit from a little less finesse in its offense, especially in the red zone. 

“Duo” is an inside run concept that gets its name from applying double teams to both defensive tackles. It is a man-blocking scheme (as opposed to zone) that is most commonly used in short-yardage situations but can also be used on early downs. It is bully ball at its finest, aimed at moving the defense’s biggest players backward. 

The Packers have run duo 40 times this season – the fourth most in the league – and they may be wise to use it in the red zone against the Eagles. They have a 46.2% success rate when running duo in 2025 – well above the league average of 40.4%.

Josh Jacobs thrives in this powerful scheme with 10 rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 3.79 yards per carry overall this season, but that number jumps to 4.79 yards per carry in duo. 

A solid running game would also help Love and the Packers in the play-acting passing game, in which they have gained 10.4 yards per play. 

Eagles vs. Packers Prediction

There is no doubt that last week’s loss to the Panthers was demoralizing for fans of the Packers, and losing Kraft amid what looked to be his breakout season was a devastating blow. 

The Eagles played two of their best games of the year before their bye week, looking nearly unstoppable. But no verdict in the NFL can be gleaned from just a game or two. 

Both of these teams project to be serious playoff contenders, and the Opta supercomputer gives them the two highest odds of winning the Super Bowl in the whole league. 

As for Monday’s game, the supercomputer gives Green Bay a 54.2% chance of righting the ship with a statement win at home on Monday Night Football.

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Eagles vs. Packers Prediction: Which NFC Contender Will Make a Big Statement on Monday Night Football? Opta Analyst.

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