The NFL MVP race has always been a marathon, but as we cruise into Week 7, the betting market is officially turning into a chaotic, full-speed sprint. The early-season narratives are giving way to on-field production and key team wins, leading to some dramatic reshuffling of the odds board. One week’s favorite can quickly become the next week’s longshot, as a handful of expected frontrunners and a few surprising dark horses battle it out for the league’s top individual honor. Let’s review the current NFL MVP Odds as Week 7 nears.
2025 NFL MVP Odds
*Steven Bisig-Imagn ImagesThe race for NFL MVP has officially turned into a knockdown, drag-out fight, and the betting odds are reflecting every twist and turn as we approach Week 7. It’s no surprise to see Patrick Mahomes on top of the odds board, but the path he took to get there is wild. It felt like the award was Josh Allen’s to lose, but the Bills’ back-to-back losses have sent his stock tumbling. Meanwhile, the Chiefs, behind the typical Mahomes brilliance, are winning again, forcing the betting market to react quickly, making him the new favorite. For many, he was always the classic “bet on the best quarterback to figure it out” play.
Looking past the early favorites for a second, the most exciting story in the MVP race is Baker Mayfield. He’s gone from a big longshot to a legitimate top-three candidate, and the momentum is real. Mayfield’s odds have absolutely plummeted as he’s cooked up some amazing stats with a supporting cast that has dealt with numerous injuries. The MVP award is fundamentally a “best player on a winning team” prize, and Mayfield is checking every box: High-level play, a clean interception rate, and leading a surprise contender.
Outside the top three, keep an eye on guys like Matthew Stafford, Jared Goff, and even Patriots QB Drake Maye. Their play has been phenomenal, and in the case of Maye, it has been done while leading a surprise contender. The bottom line is that this is no longer a two-man race. Will Mahomes’ status as the favorite become even stronger with the return of Rashee Rice? Can Allen get the Bills back to their winning ways? Or will a dark horse like Mayfield take his incredible start and run with it for the rest of the season? See the NFL MVP odds with Week 7 on tap below.
*Denny Medley-Imagn ImagesNFL MVP Odds
Patrick Mahomes +185 Josh Allen +300 Baker Mayfield +350 Matthew Stafford +1600 Jared Goff +1600 Drake Maye +1800 Justin Herbert +1800 Jordan Love +1800 Jayden Daniels +2800 Lamar Jackson +3000 Dak Prescott +4000 Daniel Jones +4500 Sam Darnold +5000Move Past the Hunch: A Strategy for Sharper Sports Betting
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