Viva Las Vegas! The NASCAR Playoffs round of 8 drops the green flag at the high-speed 1.5-mile oval of Las Vegas Motor Speedway, where the South Point 400 odds predict a roulette wheel of potential winners. Can Las Vegas’s second son, and the Cup Series’ most dominant driver here, Kyle Larson, find victory lane? Will Christopher Bell avenge last season’s runner-up finish? Or, is Joey Logano about to shock the NASCAR world again? Let’s review all of Saturday’s on-track action and the post-qualifying South Point 400 odds.
South Point 400 Practice and Qualifying
*Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn ImagesThe South Point 400 is largely considered, beyond the Championship itself, the most important race of the season. This importance, elevated by next week’s visit to Talladega, was reiterated by the eight playoff participants, with Christopher Bell, runner-up in the last two playoff Las Vegas races, saying he “had this race circled since the schedule came out.”. Subsequently, Saturday’s practice and qualifying sessions were the most important of the season for this year’s championship contenders.
Among the playoff drivers, it was William Byron leading the pack after posting the 2nd fastest lap, and top 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30-lap averages during the session. Somewhat surprising were the performances of teammate Kyle Larson and current 2025 Championship favorite Ryan Blaney. Both of whom were struggling with the balance of their cars, with Larson pitting after just 6 laps because of being too loose.
One camp, in particular, unloaded with good-to-great cars across the board. This was none other than the Toyotas who seemingly brought their found speed from Kansas to Sin City. The fastest of the group was Ty Gibbs with a single lap speed of 29.714. Meanwhile, all three of his JGR teammates and two/thirds of 23XI were also inside the top 10 in hot lap speed. Each of them, beyond this week’s pole sitter, also stood out on race pace.
That pole sitter, his 4th this season, 48th of his career, and first ever here at Las Vegas, is Denny Hamlin. He was… simply put, not good in practice, but in his pole sitter press conference, said he’s not alarmed by the session, and that his 11-team comes with a setup “not optimized for Saturday”. Instead, prepared with Sunday (race) in mind. Toyota continued their strong Saturday by claiming the 2nd, 3rd, 7th, 8th, and 10th positions in qualifying. Not to be outdone by the HMS playoff trio, who will be firing off 4th, 5th, and 6th for the South Point 400.
South Point 400 Odds
*Gary A. Vasquez-Imagn Images-qualifying South Point 400 odds board is very top-heavy, with all eight playoff drivers priced between +400 to around +1200 or +1400. Atop the board is Christopher Bell, who has been the most dominant car, each of the last two seasons in this race. He’s trailed closely by the trio of teammate Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, and William Byron in varying orders depending on sportsbook. These four are the favorites, yes, four cars are priced as “favorites” to win this race, opening up some longer than usual numbers on other. Check out the entire South Point 400 odds board from DraftKings Sportsbook below.
DriverOddsChristopher Bell+450Kyle Larson+500Denny Hamlin+550William Byron+600Chase Elliott+800Chase Briscoe+8000Joey Logano+1000Tyler Reddick+1200Ryan Blaney+1200Bubba Wallace+2000Ross Chastain+2200Chris Buescher+2800Alex Bowman+3000Ty Gibbs+3500Brad Keselowski+3500Carson Hocevar+4000Josh Berry+5000Kyle Busch+6500Ryan Preece+10000Daniel Suarez+10000Austin Cindric+10000Erik Jones+12000AJ Allmendinger+15000Shane Van Gisbergen+20000Michael McDowell+20000Zane Smith+25000John Hunter Nemechek+25000Todd Gilliland+30000Ricky Stenhouse Jr+30000Noah Gragson+30000Austin Dillon+30000Justin Haley+40000Cole Custer+40000Ty Dillon+60000Riley Herbst+60000JJ Yeley+70000Cody Ware+80000Katherine Legge+100000Betting Smart: A Quick Guide to Responsible Wagering
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