Fed's Musalem: Current restrictive policy is in the right place given data ...Middle East

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Feds Musalem: Current restrictive policy is in the right place given data
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Fed needs to balance inflation and jobs goals going forwardThere's a risk tariffs could cause a persistent inflation riseExpects inflation to ebb back to 2% by the second half of 2026Jobs market break even is between 30-80K per monthUncertainty lifting for economy, fiscal policy may add stimulusSees modest GDP growth this year before returning to trend in 2026Sees job market holding near full employmentExpects job market cooling with downside risks to labor sectorExpects tariff inflation impact to fade eventuallyTariffs will work through economy over 2-3 quarters

He sounds as hawkish as ever.

What I worry about with tariffs is that we get 2-3 quarters of inflation on this round of tariffs and then Trump blows on NAFTA next year and that creates a fresh inflation shock. At that point does it become persistent and boost inflation expectations?

    This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.

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