August Wasn’t Awful, Happ is Happ, Palencia, Ballesteros, and Other Cubs Bullets ...Middle East

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August Wasn’t Awful, Happ is Happ, Palencia, Ballesteros, and Other Cubs Bullets

Stay tuned for the roster moves today, as the active roster expands from 26 to 28 on September 1 (which happens to be Labor Day this year!). We know that Carlos Santana and Aaron Civale are arriving, and Kevin Alcantara is swapping in for Owen Caissie. The Cubs also have to make a 40-man move for Santana.

Believe it or not, the Cubs finished August with a winning record (15-14), which was actually better than a June in which they went 13-13. Why didn’t June feel quite the same as August? Well, I think the answer is still pretty clearly “because the Brewers blew up and obliterated the NL Central race.” The Cubs were by no means great in August. The offense is really in a funk, and has been for a long time. But it just felt so much worse because we watched as the division became kinda hopeless. In June, that wasn’t quite yet the story. But almost none of that difference in feeling has anything to do with the *Cubs* performance, which has to be evaluated separately. And if a “bad” month is still over .500, well, then you probably have a pretty decent team. (Now, please go five or six or seven games over .500 in September. Thanks.) In a way, you could extrapolate the excellent point Ian Happ is making here about hitting to the way we look at a team’s record over the course of the season (Tribune): “It’s really easy when you’re looking at the actual numbers to get frustrated and to try to change things and throughout my career, I’ve learned the only thing you can trust every day is a process, like, that’s all you’ve got. All you have is today, and the ability to go through your routine and live it one pitch at a time. So if I can look at those things, if I can look at the underlying data and be content with the fact that I’m not striking out as much as I have in my career, I’m still walking, I’m hitting it in the air, those are the things that I can control. And if I can be OK with that it should show up over the course of 600, 700 at-bats. That’s the only way you can make it through this game without driving yourself completely mad.” Happ, by the way, is up to a .234/.335/.402/110 wRC+ on the season, and is one of the few offensive bright spots in the second half (.250/.358/.477/133 wRC+). He goes through ups and downs every year, but he also pretty much always winds up getting his numbers in the end. Also, Happ’s .357 xwOBA would be the highest in his career over any full season, so he’s probably hit into a whole lot of rough luck this year (I can picture a ton of screaming liners right at outfielders). I know that “closers in a non-save spot” is a thing we often discuss, and now Daniel Palencia has been walked off on twice in a row in a 9th inning tie. But I tend to agree with Craig Counsell for now, that it isn’t that complicated when you’re looking over your bullpen:

"It's a pretty big spot when the game's tied in the 9th inning."Craig Counsell on bringing in Daniel Palencia in the 9th inning. pic.twitter.com/SsJUO6jec0

    — Marquee Sports Network (@WatchMarquee) August 31, 2025 Michael discussed Palencia’s recent blip, if you missed it. At least I don’t worry too much about Palencia’s ability to shake this off. He’s shown every time this year that he can. © David Banks-Imagn Images This was an outrageously good play by Dansby Swanson, not just to get the ball, but to pull off that throw:

    an absolute snag by dansby pic.twitter.com/HpMrrz1rxa

    — Chicago Cubs (@Cubs) August 31, 2025 Moises Ballesteros, oppo shot:

    Bally blast pic.twitter.com/XoLthpCiaB

    — Iowa Cubs (@IowaCubs) September 1, 2025 “Why on earth would you swing at that slider in the dirt … oh”:

    Mason Miller, 87mph Slider and 102mph Painted Fastball, Individual Pitches + OverlayNot fair. pic.twitter.com/nnNRer6IaH

    — Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 31, 2025 Always:

    Today felt like a good day for a Pedro Strop Appreciation Post. Strop finished his Cubs career with a 2.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 10.3 K/9, and a 142 ERA+ in 413 games which ranks sixth all time in franchise history. Hats to the left. Always. pic.twitter.com/u8mHN1QjpE

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    — Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) August 30, 2025

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