Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, August 29, 2025 ...Middle East

Bookmakers declined to choose a favorite for Friday’s matchup between the Boston Red Sox (75-60) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-76), with both teams equal on the moneyline. The teams will take to the field at 7:10 p.m. ET, live on MLB Network, NESN, and SportsNet PT

Boston’s Payton Tolle gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Paul Skenes.

Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds

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Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Red Sox vs. Pirates?

Red Sox and Pirates Betting Trends

The Red Sox have won 60.5% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (49-32).

Boston has a 50-34 record (winning 59.5% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -110 or shorter.

This season, the Pirates have won 38 out of the 93 games, or 40.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

Pittsburgh has a record of 38-55 in games where bookmakers have it as underdogs of at least -110 on the moneyline.

The Red Sox have had an over/under set by bookmakers 134 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 65 of those games (65-65-4).

The Pirates’ games have gone over the total in 56 of their 134 chances.

Red Sox Stats & Insights

The Red Sox are the fourth-highest scoring team in the majors, averaging 4.9 runs per game (668 total).

Boston is 11th in MLB play with 163 home runs. They average 1.2 per game.

The Red Sox are seventh in the majors with a .252 batting average.

Boston’s 8.8 strikeouts per game are the fourth-most in baseball.

The 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Red Sox pitching staff ranks 20th in the majors.

Boston has a 3.66 team ERA that ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

Pirates Stats & Insights

The Pirates are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking last with just 484 total runs (3.6 per game) this season.

Pittsburgh ranks last in Major League Baseball with just 98 home runs as a team.

The Pirates rank 26th in MLB with a team batting average of just .233.

Pittsburgh ranks 24th with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.

The Pirates average the 21st-most strikeouts per nine innings (eight) in the majors this season.

Pittsburgh has the 14th-ranked ERA (3.94) in the majors this season.

Red Sox Key Players to Watch

Tolle takes the mound for his first start of the season for the Red Sox.

Jarren Duran leads Boston with a .258 batting average. He’s also hit 13 homers and has 73 RBI.

Trevor Story leads Boston in home runs (22) and runs batted in (84) this season while batting .257.

Ceddanne Rafaela has 113 hits this season and a slash line of .249/.292/.426.

Alex Bregman has 98 hits and an OBP of .380 to go with a slugging percentage of .511 this season.

Pirates Key Players to Watch

The Pirates will hand the ball to Skenes (8-9) for his 28th start of the season.

Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates with 66 runs batted in.

Oneil Cruz has hit 18 home runs to pace his team.

Andrew McCutchen has 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 walks while hitting .239.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .268 to pace his team.

Red Sox and Pirates Injuries

Red Sox: Marcelo Mayer: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Wilyer Abreu: 10 Day IL (Calf), Richard Fitts: 15 Day IL (Biceps), Triston Casas: 60 Day IL (Knee), Josh Winckowski: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Guerrero: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Kutter Crawford: 60 Day IL (Knee), Patrick Sandoval: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Hip), Tanner Houck: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Hunter Dobbins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

Pirates: Tim Mayza: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Lawrence: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Endy Rodriguez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jared Jones: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Enmanuel Valdez: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

Red Sox vs. Pirates Prediction

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