Which team will win Serie A this season? Stay up to date with our live Opta supercomputer predictions for the 2025-26 Italian top-flight title race.
Napoli managed to pip Internazionale to the Serie A title on the final day last campaign to win the scudetto for the second time in three seasons.
Winning the Serie A title in back-to-back seasons has proved difficult in recent years, with Juventus the last team to do so in 2019-20.
Inter suffered a disappointing end to 2024-25, missing out on the league title and then suffering the heaviest UEFA Champions League final defeat in history, going down 5-0 to Paris Saint-Germain.
Milan ended last season in eighth place – their worst league finish in 10 years. They’ll look to improve and battle for a somewhat surprising league title this time around, as will Juve, Roma, Lazio, Atalanta and Fiorentina.
You can keep up with the latest Serie A title projections by the Opta supercomputer throughout the 2025-26 season on this page.
How Does the Opta Supercomputer Model Work?
Opta’s League Prediction model estimates the likelihood of teams finishing in each position in the competition. We can therefore see how successful a team’s season is likely to be, whether it’s their relegation or title chances. The model estimates the probability of each match outcome (win, draw or loss) by using betting market odds and Opta Power Rankings. The odds and rankings are based on historical and recent team performances. The model considers the strength of opponents by using these match outcome probabilities and simulates the remaining fixtures in the competition thousands of times. By analysing the outcome of each of these simulations, the model can see how often teams finished in each league position to create our final predictions.Subscribe to our football newsletter to receive exclusive weekly content. You should also follow our social accounts over on X, Instagram, TikTok and Facebook.
Who Will Win Serie A in 2025-26? Opta Analyst.
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