PSG vs Tottenham: Opta Supercomputer UEFA Super Cup Prediction ...Middle East

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PSG vs Tottenham: Opta Supercomputer UEFA Super Cup Prediction

Who will prevail out of the reigning UEFA Champions League holders and the 2025 UEFA Europa League winners? We look ahead to the UEFA Super Cup on Wednesday in Udine, Italy with our PSG vs Tottenham prediction via the Opta supercomputer.

PSG vs Tottenham Stats: The Key Insights

Paris Saint-Germain are strong favourites to win the 2025 UEFA Super Cup against Tottenham according to the Opta supercomputer. Tottenham are the eighth different English side to feature in the UEFA Super Cup. Six of the previous seven won their first ever appearance in the final, with the exception being Arsenal, who lost 2-0 on aggregate to Milan in 1995. Eleven of the last 12 editions of the UEFA Super Cup have been won by the previous season’s UEFA Champions League winners, with the exception being Atlético Madrid’s 4-2 win over Real Madrid in 2018.

Paris Saint-Germain and Tottenham Hotspur will meet for the first time ever in a competitive match on Wednesday night as they face off in the 2025 UEFA Super Cup in Udine.

    PSG qualified for the Super Cup by winning their first ever UEFA Champions League, demolishing Inter Milan 5-0 on 31 May in what was the biggest final win in UCL/European Cup history.

    It will be just the second time a French side has participated in the Super Cup, after PSG lost to Juventus 9-2 across two legs in January 1997.

    A PSG win in Udine would make France the 13th country to have had a representative win the Super Cup, and the first new nation to provide a winner of the trophy since Germany in 2013 (Bayern Munich).

    As the reigning European champions and finalists at this summer’s FIFA Club World Cup in the United States, they are the heavy favourites in this game. History suggests as much, too – 11 of the last 12 editions of the Super Cup have been won by the previous season’s Champions League winners, with the exception being Atlético Madrid’s 4-2 win over Real Madrid in 2018.

    Tottenham begin a new era under Thomas Frank, with the Dane moving from fellow Premier League side Brentford to north London this summer to replace Ange Postecoglou, who was dismissed despite leading Spurs to their first major European trophy in 41 years.

    That UEFA Europa League final win over Manchester United means that Spurs will become the eighth English side to feature in the UEFA Super Cup. Six of the previous seven won their first ever appearance in the final, with the exception being Arsenal who lost 2-0 on aggregate to Milan in 1995.

    This will be Frank’s first competitive game in charge of Spurs, with the 51-year-old becoming the first manager whose debut game in charge of an English club is in the UEFA Super Cup.

    He’ll hope to turn Spurs’ fortunes around from last season as they were far too easy for opponents to beat. Overall, no Premier League side has lost more games in 2025 than Tottenham (16), while PSG have won more often than any other top five European league side this calendar year (34).

    A key part of that success has been the form of forward Ousmane Dembélé, who has been involved in more goals than any other player in Europe’s top five leagues in all competitions in 2025 (36 – 27 goals, 9 assists). Indeed, the Frenchman has either scored (3) or assisted (3) in six of his eight games against English opposition in 2025.

    PSG vs Tottenham Team News

    Spurs will be missing a host of first-team players for this match through injury, with James Maddison the latest to join the list after he ruptured his anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) in a pre-season friendly with Newcastle United.

    Maddison will be missing alongside Radu Dragusin, Dejan Kulusevski, Manor Solomon, Bryan Gil and Kota Takai, who all failed to make Spurs’ 22-man squad for this encounter in Italy.

    Dominic Solanke and Destiny Udogie suffered injury issues in pre-season but have made the squad, while new signings Mohammed Kudus and João Palhinha should play some part.

    PSG have no fresh injury concerns following a shorter-than-usual pre-season after their participation at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup.

    Gianluigi Donnarumma has been linked to Manchester United and Chelsea in this transfer window, and his reported refusal to sign a new contract means that he’s been excluded from their squad for this match. New arrival Lucas Chevalier is expected to start in goal in his place, while key players Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Fabián Ruiz, Vitinha, João Neves and Dembélé are all expected to start.

    Boss Luis Enrique will have to make a difficult call on which of his talented attackers will get the nod in the starting XI, with Bradley Barcola, Désiré Doué and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia all named in their 22-man squad for the match.

    PSG vs Tottenham Predicted Lineups

    Paris Saint-Germain: Lucas Chevalier, Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, Désiré Doué, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

    Tottenham Hotspur: Guglielmo Vicario, Pedro Porro, Cristian Romero, Micky Van de Ven, Djed Spence, João Palhinha, Rodrigo Bentancaur, Mohammed Kudus, Pape Sarr, Brennan Johnson, Richarlison.

    PSG vs Tottenham Prediction

    The Opta supercomputer makes PSG the strong favourites to win the 2025 UEFA Super Cup, as the French club won 62.4% of the pre-match simulations inside 90 minutes.

    Across those 10,000 sims, Spurs won inside 90 minutes just 18.3% of the time, while the game ended in a draw 19.3% of the time, heading to extra-time and opening up the possibility of a penalty shootout.

    Opta Power Rankings

    The Opta Power Rankings are a global team ranking system. They assign an ability score to over 10,000 domestic football teams. This score is on a scale between zero and 100, where zero is the worst-ranked team in the world and 100 is the best team in the world.Ahead of kick-off in Udine on Wednesday night, here is the Opta Power Ranking for both sides.

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    PSG vs Tottenham: Opta Supercomputer UEFA Super Cup Prediction Opta Analyst.

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