Mercury vs Fever: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 7 ...Middle East

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Mercury vs Fever: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 7

The Indiana Fever (17-13) will look to Kelsey Mitchell (fourth in WNBA, 20 points per game) to help defeat Satou Sabally (10th in league, 17.5) and the Phoenix Mercury (18-11) on Thursday, August 7, 2025 at PHX Arena, at 10 p.m. ET.

Before you place an informed wager on the contest, see the best bets available in Thursday’s game based on our computer predictions.

    Pick the Fever (+4.5) to Cover

    The Mercury have covered the spread 16 times this season (16-13-0). The Fever are 16-14-0 against the spread this season. The Mercury have an ATS record of 9-7 when playing as at least 4.5-point favorites. The Fever are 1-3 ATS when playing as at least 4.5-point underdogs.

    Take the Under (172.5)

    The Mercury and their opponents have gone over 172.5 combined points in eight of 29 games this season. The Fever have combined with their opponent to score more than 172.5 points in 12 of 30 games this season. The two teams combine to score 168.6 points per game, 3.9 fewer points than this matchup’s total. Combined, these teams give up 161.8 points per game, 10.7 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under. The average total in Mercury games this season is 162.5, 10.0 points fewer than this matchup’s over/under. The Fever have a 166.8-point average over/under in their contests this season, 5.7 fewer points than this game’s total.

    Back the Mercury on the Moneyline (-205)

    The Mercury have won 13 of the 18 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (72.2%). The Fever have entered the game as underdogs 10 times this season and won six of those games. When they have played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -205 or shorter, the Mercury have a record of 11-3 (78.6%). This season, the Fever have been at least a +168 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests. The Mercury have an implied moneyline win probability of 67.2% in this game. The moneyline for this contest implies a 37.3% chance of a victory for the Fever.

    Top Mercury Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Satou Sabally 15.5 5.5 – Kahleah Copper 15.5 – – Alyssa Thomas 14.5 8.5 8.5

    Top Fever Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Kelsey Mitchell 19.5 – – Aliyah Boston 14.5 9.5 – Natasha Howard 11.5 7.5 – Aari McDonald 10.5 – 5.5 Sophie Cunningham – –

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