Liberty vs Sun: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 3 ...Middle East

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Liberty vs Sun: Best Bets, Player Props & Computer Picks – Aug. 3

The Connecticut Sun (5-21) will look to Tina Charles (16.1 points per game, 15th in WNBA) when they try to knock off Sabrina Ionescu (19.8, fifth) and the New York Liberty (17-10) on Sunday, August 3, 2025 at Mohegan Sun Arena. It tips at 1 p.m. ET.

Keep reading to dig into the best bets you can place on Sunday’s game, based on our computer predictions.

    Pick the Sun (+12.5) to Cover

    The Liberty are 11-15-1 against the spread this season. The Sun have covered the spread 13 times in 26 games with a set spread. In games they have played as 12.5-point favorites or more, the Liberty have an ATS record of 3-2. In games they were an underdog in by 12.5 points or more so far this year, the Sun have gone 8-5 against the spread.

    Take the Under (169.5)

    Liberty games this season have gone over this contest’s total of 169.5 points 12 times. The Sun have played eight games this season that finished with a combined score over 169.5 points. These two teams score a combined 161.6 points per game, 7.9 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under. Opponents of these two teams combine to average 168.3 points per game, 1.2 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under. Liberty games this season have had an average of 166.5 points, 3.0 fewer than this matchup’s over/under. The Sun have had an average of 160.4 points scored in their games so far this season, 9.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

    Back the Liberty on the Moneyline (-676)

    The Liberty have won 73.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (17-6). This season, the Sun have been the underdog 25 times and won five, or 20%, of those games. When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -676 or shorter, the Liberty have a 6-2 record (winning 75% of their games). This season, the Sun have won three of their 14 games, or 21.4%, when they’re the underdog by at least +479 on the moneyline. Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Liberty have an implied win probability of 87.1%. The moneyline for this contest implies a 17.3% chance of a victory for the Sun.

    Top Liberty Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Sabrina Ionescu 22.5 – 6.5 Jonquel Jones 15.5 9.5 – Natasha Cloud – 5.5

    Top Sun Props

    Name Points O/U Rebounds O/U Assists O/U Tina Charles 14.5 5.5 – Marina Mabrey 13.5 – –

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